UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Silva vs Gastelum

2,250

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Silva

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
85% chance Silva
WILL WIN

1,949

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Anderson Silva
Much heavier hands 9.5 vs 7.6 Around 25% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 9.4 vs 7.9 Around 20% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much taller 188 cm vs 175 cm More than 5% taller
Much longer reach 197 cm vs 182 cm Around 10% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Much harder to hit 9.2 vs 8.5 Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly better takedown defense 9.1 vs 8.3 Around 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly better submission defense 9.5 vs 8.2 More than 15% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Significantly better striker 9.0 vs 8.5 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Puts up a fight 9.4 vs 8.5 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Stronger jaw 8.9 vs 8.4 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Advantages for Kelvin Gastelum
Much stronger takedown offense 8.8 vs 7.1 Around 25% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Much younger 26 years vs 42 years Around 40% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Silva on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Gastelum’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Anderson
Silva
In 5:50, how much damage will he do? Silva Gastelum
Significant Strikes35
Silva's excellent striking offense will dominate Gastelum's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 53 Significant Strikes in 5:50
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Silva's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Gastelum's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 3 Takedowns in 5:50
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Silva has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Silva is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Silva is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Gastelum on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Silva’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Kelvin
Gastelum
In 5:50, how much damage will he do? Gastelum Silva
Significant Strikes19
Gastelum's average striking offense won't be a factor against Silva's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 53 Significant Strikes in 5:50
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Gastelum's good takedown offense is matched by Silva's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 3 Takedowns in 5:50
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Gastelum is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Gastelum is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Gastelum is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Silva 9.0
fighter Gastelum 8.5
Great striking by Silva
15 strikes Jul 07, 2012 vs Sonnen
43 strikes Aug 27, 2011 vs Okami
31 strikes Oct 14, 2006 vs Franklin

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Silva 7.1
fighter Gastelum 8.9
Great takedowns by Gastelum
1 takedown Aug 28, 2013 vs Melancon
3 takedowns Apr 13, 2013 vs Hall

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Silva 9.5
fighter Gastelum 7.6
Great knockouts by Silva
Round 2 Jul 07, 2012 vs Sonnen
Round 2 Aug 27, 2011 vs Okami
Round 2 Oct 20, 2007 vs Franklin

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Silva 7.4
fighter Gastelum 7.5
Great submissions by Gastelum
Round 1 Aug 28, 2013 vs Melancon
Round 1 Jul 07, 2012 vs Smallwood
Round 2 Dec 11, 2010 vs Sanchez

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Silva 9.4
fighter Gastelum 7.9
Fast finishes by Silva
415 seconds Jul 07, 2012 vs Sonnen
424 seconds Aug 27, 2011 vs Okami
179 seconds Oct 14, 2006 vs Franklin
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Silva
legend Gastelum
Read More
Silva vs St. Pierre
Fantasy Cage Match
Gastelum vs Bisping
Fantasy Cage Match
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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