UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Aurelio vs Ishida

1,893

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Aurelio

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
59% chance Aurelio
WILL WIN

1,833

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Marcus Aurelio
Much better submission offense 8.9 vs 6.7 More than 30% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Fast finishes 8.5 vs 7.3 More than 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much stronger jaw 9.3 vs 7.9 Around 20% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.7 vs 8.3 More than 15% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly longer reach 188 cm vs 170 cm More than 10% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Significantly better submission defense 9.5 vs 8.9 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Taller 178 cm vs 168 cm More than 5% taller
Heavier hands 7.0 vs 6.7 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Heavier 169 lbs vs 142 lbs Around 20% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Advantages for Mitsuhiro Ishida
Much stronger takedown offense 9.5 vs 8.1 Around 20% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly harder to hit 9.3 vs 8.7 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly better takedown defense 9.2 vs 8.6 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Younger 38 years vs 43 years More than 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Aurelio on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Ishida’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Marcus
Aurelio
In 8:47, how much damage will he do? Aurelio Ishida
Significant Strikes22
Aurelio's average striking offense won't be a factor against Ishida's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 79 Significant Strikes in 8:47
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Aurelio's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Ishida's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:47
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Aurelio has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Aurelio has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Aurelio is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Ishida on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Aurelio’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Mitsuhiro
Ishida
In 8:47, how much damage will he do? Ishida Aurelio
Significant Strikes31
Ishida's average striking offense is matched by Aurelio's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 79 Significant Strikes in 8:47
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Ishida's excellent takedown offense will dominate Aurelio's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:47
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Ishida is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Ishida is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Ishida has a very good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Aurelio 8.2
fighter Ishida 8.2
Great striking by Aurelio
6 strikes Apr 02, 2008 vs Roberts
3 strikes Apr 02, 2006 vs Gomi
16 strikes Jul 17, 2005 vs Nakao

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Aurelio 8.1
fighter Ishida 9.5
Great takedowns by Ishida
5 takedowns Mar 08, 2009 vs Nakamura
7 takedowns Dec 31, 2007 vs Melendez
4 takedowns Jun 04, 2006 vs Aurelio

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Aurelio 7.0
fighter Ishida 6.7
Great knockouts by Aurelio
Round 2 Feb 06, 2009 vs Liguori
Round 1 Nov 17, 2007 vs Caudillo
Round 2 May 05, 2004 vs Kotani

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Aurelio 8.9
fighter Ishida 6.7
Great submissions by Aurelio
Round 2 Mar 13, 2010 vs Puhakka
Round 1 Apr 02, 2008 vs Roberts
Round 1 Apr 02, 2006 vs Gomi

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Aurelio 8.5
fighter Ishida 7.3
Fast finishes by Aurelio
16 seconds Apr 02, 2008 vs Roberts
274 seconds Apr 02, 2006 vs Gomi
40 seconds Jan 11, 2004 vs Clementi
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
June 4, 2006Pride - Bushido 11
team
VS
team
XR2 DEC
R2 SUBX
2,0021,866
1,9331,935
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Aurelio
legend Ishida
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
comments powered by Disqus