UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Nogueira vs Sylvia

1,950

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Nogueira

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
72% chance Nogueira
WILL WIN

1,787

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Antonio Nogueira
Much better submission offense 8.3 vs 6.4 Around 30% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.0 vs 7.3 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Harder to hit 8.8 vs 8.5 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Fast finishes 8.2 vs 7.9 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Slightly better submission defense 9.0 vs 8.8 Almost the same
Slightly younger 42 years vs 44 years Around 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Tim Sylvia
Much taller 203 cm vs 191 cm More than 5% taller
Significantly heavier 264 lbs vs 239 lbs More than 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Significantly heavier hands 7.8 vs 6.8 Around 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Better takedown defense 9.0 vs 8.7 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Better striker 8.8 vs 8.6 Almost the same
Nogueira on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Sylvia’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Antonio
Nogueira
In 12:11, how much damage will he do? Nogueira Sylvia
Significant Strikes62
Nogueira's good striking offense may be a factor against Sylvia's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 110 Significant Strikes in 12:11
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Nogueira's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Sylvia's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 12:11
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Nogueira is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Nogueira has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Nogueira is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Sylvia on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Nogueira’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Tim
Sylvia
In 12:11, how much damage will he do? Sylvia Nogueira
Significant Strikes57
Sylvia's good striking offense may be a factor against Nogueira's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 110 Significant Strikes in 12:11
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Sylvia's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Nogueira's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 12:11
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Sylvia is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Sylvia is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Sylvia is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Nogueira 8.6
fighter Sylvia 8.8
Great striking by Sylvia
49 strikes Nov 18, 2006 vs Monson
13 strikes Apr 15, 2006 vs Arlovski
12 strikes Feb 28, 2003 vs Rodriguez

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Nogueira 8.0
fighter Sylvia 7.3
Great takedowns by Nogueira
2 takedowns Feb 02, 2008 vs Sylvia
1 takedown Dec 31, 2006 vs Barnett
1 takedown Nov 09, 2003 vs Filipovic

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Nogueira 6.9
fighter Sylvia 7.8
Great knockouts by Sylvia
Round 2 Aug 14, 2010 vs Buentello
Round 1 Apr 15, 2006 vs Arlovski
Round 1 Feb 28, 2003 vs Rodriguez

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Nogueira 8.3
fighter Sylvia 6.5
Great submissions by Nogueira
Round 3 Feb 02, 2008 vs Sylvia
Round 2 Jun 20, 2004 vs Herring
Round 2 Oct 09, 2000 vs Tamura

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Nogueira 8.2
fighter Sylvia 7.9
Fast finishes by Nogueira
688 seconds Feb 02, 2008 vs Sylvia
330 seconds Jun 20, 2004 vs Herring
449 seconds Oct 09, 2000 vs Tamura
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
February 2, 2008UFC 81
team
VS
team
R3 SUBX
DECX
2,1672,061
2,2022,026
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Nogueira
legend Sylvia
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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