UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Nogueira vs Rogerio Nogueira

1,950

CageRank

WINNER
Rogerio Nogueira

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
66% chance Rogerio Nogueira
WILL WIN

2,064

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Antonio Rogerio Nogueira
Much heavier hands 8.2 vs 6.8 Around 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Harder to hit 9.1 vs 8.8 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Better striker 8.8 vs 8.6 Almost the same
Better takedown defense 8.9 vs 8.7 Almost the same
Better submission defense 9.2 vs 9.0 Almost the same
Puts up a fight 9.0 vs 8.9 Almost the same
Advantages for Antonio Nogueira
Much better submission offense 8.3 vs 7.3 Around 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.0 vs 7.5 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Heavier 239 lbs vs 205 lbs More than 15% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Taller 191 cm vs 188 cm Almost the same
Rogerio Nogueira on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Nogueira’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Antonio
Rogerio Nogueira
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Rogerio Nogueira Nogueira
Significant Strikes71
Rogerio Nogueira's good striking offense may be a factor against Nogueira's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Rogerio Nogueira's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Nogueira's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Rogerio Nogueira has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Rogerio Nogueira is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Rogerio Nogueira has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Nogueira on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Rogerio Nogueira’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Antonio
Nogueira
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Nogueira Rogerio Nogueira
Significant Strikes56
Nogueira's good striking offense is matched by Rogerio Nogueira's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Nogueira's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Rogerio Nogueira's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Nogueira is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Nogueira has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Nogueira is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Rogerio Nogueira 8.8
fighter Nogueira 8.6
Great striking by Rogerio Nogueira
40 strikes Feb 02, 2013 vs Evans
24 strikes Jan 24, 2009 vs Matyushenko
27 strikes Jul 01, 2006 vs Overeem

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Rogerio Nogueira 7.5
fighter Nogueira 8.0
Great takedowns by Nogueira
2 takedowns Feb 02, 2008 vs Sylvia
1 takedown Dec 31, 2006 vs Barnett
1 takedown Nov 09, 2003 vs Filipovic

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Rogerio Nogueira 8.2
fighter Nogueira 6.9
Great knockouts by Rogerio Nogueira
Round 1 Nov 21, 2009 vs Cane
Round 2 Jan 24, 2009 vs Matyushenko
Round 2 Jul 01, 2006 vs Overeem

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Rogerio Nogueira 7.3
fighter Nogueira 8.3
Great submissions by Nogueira
Round 3 Feb 02, 2008 vs Sylvia
Round 2 Jun 20, 2004 vs Herring
Round 2 Oct 09, 2000 vs Tamura

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Rogerio Nogueira 8.2
fighter Nogueira 8.2
Fast finishes by Nogueira
688 seconds Feb 02, 2008 vs Sylvia
330 seconds Jun 20, 2004 vs Herring
449 seconds Oct 09, 2000 vs Tamura
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Rogerio Nogueira
legend Nogueira
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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