UFC fight predictions and analysis
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CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Lee vs Johnson

1,639

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Lee

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 1

prediction
91% chance Lee
WILL WIN

1,239

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Mike Lee
Fast finishes 7.9 vs 6.2 More than 25% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much better submission defense 8.0 vs 5.8 Around 40% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Much heavier hands 6.8 vs 5.7 Around 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Puts up a fight 7.9 vs 6.4 Around 25% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Much better submission offense 7.3 vs 6.4 Around 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly younger 40 years vs 50 years 20% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Heavier 169 lbs vs 155 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Advantages for Scott Johnson
Stronger jaw 8.2 vs 8.1 Almost the same
Lee on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Johnson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Mike
Lee
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Lee is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Lee has a very good chance of winning by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Poor
Resistance
Decision
Lee is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Johnson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Lee’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Scott
Johnson
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Johnson is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Johnson is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Johnson is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Lee 6.8
fighter Johnson 5.7
Great knockouts by Lee
Round 1 Jul 10, 2010 vs Moore
Round 1 Mar 06, 2004 vs Gay
Round 1 Apr 21, 2000 vs Douglas

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Lee 7.3
fighter Johnson 6.4
Great submissions by Lee
Round 1 Aug 11, 2001 vs Young
Round 1 Jun 13, 2000 vs Byrket
Round 1 Jul 25, 1998 vs Stubbs

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Lee 7.9
fighter Johnson 6.3
Fast finishes by Lee
52 seconds Jul 10, 2010 vs Moore
45 seconds Aug 11, 2001 vs Young
141 seconds Jun 13, 2000 vs Byrket
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
August 23, 2003SB 1 - Shootbox 1
team
VS
team
R1 SUBX
R3 SUBX
1,5461,289
1,5651,270
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Lee
legend Johnson
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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