UFC fight predictions and analysis
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CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Lee vs Kessler

1,639

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Lee

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 1

prediction
72% chance Lee
WILL WIN

1,479

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Mike Lee
Significantly heavier 169 lbs vs 164 lbs Around 5% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Significantly fast finishes 7.9 vs 7.2 More than 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Puts up a fight 7.9 vs 6.8 More than 15% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly better submission defense 8.0 vs 7.1 Around 15% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Heavier hands 6.8 vs 6.3 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Taller 180 cm vs 178 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Roger Kessler
From what we can tell, Mike Lee dominates Roger Kessler in every way.
Lee on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Kessler’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Mike
Lee
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Lee is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Lee has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Lee is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Kessler on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Lee’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Roger
Kessler
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Kessler is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Kessler is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Kessler is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Lee 6.8
fighter Kessler 6.3
Great knockouts by Lee
Round 1 Jul 10, 2010 vs Moore
Round 1 Mar 06, 2004 vs Gay
Round 1 Apr 21, 2000 vs Douglas

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Lee 7.3
fighter Kessler 7.4
Great submissions by Kessler
Round 1 Dec 16, 2000 vs Fowler
Round 1 Feb 21, 1999 vs Gadbury
Round 0 Apr 11, 1998 vs Perez

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Lee 7.9
fighter Kessler 7.2
Fast finishes by Lee
52 seconds Jul 10, 2010 vs Moore
45 seconds Aug 11, 2001 vs Young
141 seconds Jun 13, 2000 vs Byrket
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
September 12, 1998WVF - Orlando 3
team
VS
team
R1 SUBX
R2 SUBX
1,5501,450
1,5861,414
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Lee
legend Kessler
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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