UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Lee vs Marquardt

1,639

CageRank

WINNER
Marquardt

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
91% chance Marquardt
WILL WIN

2,037

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Nate Marquardt
Much heavier hands 8.2 vs 6.8 More than 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Much better submission defense 9.8 vs 8.0 Around 25% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 9.2 vs 7.9 More than 15% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Fast finishes 8.6 vs 7.9 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly better submission offense 7.9 vs 7.3 Around 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Stronger jaw 8.6 vs 8.1 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Heavier 184 lbs vs 169 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Slightly taller 183 cm vs 180 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Mike Lee
From what we can tell, Nate Marquardt dominates Mike Lee in every way.
Marquardt on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Lee’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Nate
Marquardt
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Marquardt has a good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Marquardt has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Marquardt is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Lee on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Marquardt’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Mike
Lee
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Lee is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Lee is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Lee is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Marquardt 8.2
fighter Lee 6.8
Great knockouts by Marquardt
Round 4 Jul 14, 2012 vs Woodley
Round 1 Aug 29, 2009 vs Maia
Round 1 Sep 06, 2008 vs Kampmann

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Marquardt 7.9
fighter Lee 7.3
Great submissions by Marquardt
Round 2 Feb 02, 2008 vs Horn
Round 2 Oct 10, 2006 vs Wallace
Round 3 May 01, 2005 vs Takeuchi

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Marquardt 8.6
fighter Lee 7.9
Fast finishes by Marquardt
208 seconds Sep 15, 2010 vs Palhares
21 seconds Aug 29, 2009 vs Maia
82 seconds Sep 06, 2008 vs Kampmann
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
April 17, 1999WVF - Durango
team
VS
team
XR2 SUB
R2 SUBX
1,6241,500
1,5571,567
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Marquardt
legend Lee
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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