UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Lee vs Gay

1,639

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Lee

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 1

prediction
88% chance Lee
WILL WIN

1,296

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Mike Lee
Fast finishes 7.9 vs 6.7 Around 20% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much heavier hands 6.8 vs 5.6 Around 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Much better submission defense 8.0 vs 6.7 Around 20% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 7.9 vs 6.8 More than 15% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly better submission offense 7.3 vs 6.7 Around 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly stronger jaw 8.1 vs 7.4 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Heavier 169 lbs vs 155 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Advantages for Shaun Gay
Taller 185 cm vs 180 cm Around 5% taller
Lee on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Gay’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Mike
Lee
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Lee is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Lee has a chance to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Below average
Resistance
Decision
Lee is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Gay on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Lee’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Shaun
Gay
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Gay is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Gay is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Gay is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Lee 6.8
fighter Gay 5.6
Great knockouts by Lee
Round 1 Jul 10, 2010 vs Moore
Round 1 Mar 06, 2004 vs Gay
Round 1 Apr 21, 2000 vs Douglas

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Lee 7.3
fighter Gay 6.8
Great submissions by Lee
Round 1 Aug 11, 2001 vs Young
Round 1 Jun 13, 2000 vs Byrket
Round 1 Jul 25, 1998 vs Stubbs

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Lee 7.9
fighter Gay 6.7
Fast finishes by Lee
52 seconds Jul 10, 2010 vs Moore
45 seconds Aug 11, 2001 vs Young
141 seconds Jun 13, 2000 vs Byrket
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
R1 KOX
R2 SUBX
1,5651,397
1,5921,369
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Lee
legend Gay
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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