UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Lee vs Douglas

1,639

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Lee

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 1

prediction
83% chance Lee
WILL WIN

1,366

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Mike Lee
Fast finishes 7.9 vs 6.9 Around 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Puts up a fight 7.9 vs 6.5 More than 20% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Much better submission defense 8.0 vs 6.8 Around 20% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Much stronger jaw 8.1 vs 7.1 Around 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better submission offense 7.3 vs 6.9 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Advantages for Tim Douglas
Heavier hands 7.0 vs 6.8 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Lee on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Douglas’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Mike
Lee
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Lee is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Lee has a chance to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Below average
Resistance
Decision
Lee is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Douglas on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Lee’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Tim
Douglas
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Douglas is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Douglas is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Douglas is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Lee 7.3
fighter Douglas 6.9
Great submissions by Lee
Round 1 Aug 11, 2001 vs Young
Round 1 Jun 13, 2000 vs Byrket
Round 1 Jul 25, 1998 vs Stubbs

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Lee 7.9
fighter Douglas 6.9
Fast finishes by Lee
52 seconds Jul 10, 2010 vs Moore
45 seconds Aug 11, 2001 vs Young
141 seconds Jun 13, 2000 vs Byrket
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
April 21, 2000WVF - Cage Brawl
team
VS
team
R1 KOX
R2 SUBX
1,6171,387
1,6381,366
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Lee
legend Douglas
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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