UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Evans vs Bader

2,222

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Evans

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
70% chance Evans
WILL WIN

2,073

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Rashad Evans
Significantly heavier hands 8.6 vs 7.6 Around 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Puts up a fight 9.7 vs 8.8 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better submission defense 9.3 vs 8.5 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Stronger takedown offense 9.1 vs 8.7 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Stronger jaw 9.4 vs 8.8 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better takedown defense 9.6 vs 9.2 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Better striker 8.9 vs 8.7 Almost the same
Longer reach 191 cm vs 188 cm Almost the same
Fast finishes 8.2 vs 8.1 Almost the same
Advantages for Ryan Bader
A lot taller 188 cm vs 180 cm Around 5% taller
Better submission offense 7.3 vs 6.8 Around 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Younger 34 years vs 38 years More than 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Evans on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Bader’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Rashad
Evans
In 11:58, how much damage will he do? Evans Bader
Significant Strikes42
Evans's good striking offense won't be a factor against Bader's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 108 Significant Strikes in 11:58
Good
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Evans's good takedown offense won't be a factor against Bader's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 11:58
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Evans has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Evans is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Evans has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Bader on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Evans’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Ryan
Bader
In 11:58, how much damage will he do? Bader Evans
Significant Strikes38
Bader's good striking offense won't be a factor against Evans's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 108 Significant Strikes in 11:58
Good
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Bader's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Evans's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 11:58
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Bader is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Bader is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Bader has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Evans 8.9
fighter Bader 8.7
Great striking by Evans
20 strikes Nov 16, 2013 vs Sonnen
39 strikes Jun 15, 2013 vs Henderson
29 strikes May 29, 2010 vs Jackson

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Evans 9.1
fighter Bader 8.7
Great takedowns by Evans
1 takedown Nov 16, 2013 vs Sonnen
3 takedowns May 29, 2010 vs Jackson
8 takedowns Sep 23, 2006 vs Lambert

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Evans 8.6
fighter Bader 7.6
Great knockouts by Evans
Round 1 Nov 16, 2013 vs Sonnen
Round 3 Dec 27, 2008 vs Griffin
Round 2 Sep 06, 2008 vs Liddell

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Evans 6.8
fighter Bader 7.4
Great submissions by Bader
Round 1 Jan 26, 2013 vs Matyushenko
Round 1 Apr 05, 2008 vs Acosta
Round 1 May 12, 2007 vs Baggett

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Evans 8.2
fighter Bader 8.1
Fast finishes by Evans
245 seconds Nov 16, 2013 vs Sonnen
766 seconds Dec 27, 2008 vs Griffin
411 seconds Sep 06, 2008 vs Liddell
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
October 3, 2015UFC 192
team
VS
team
XR3 DEC
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Evans
legend Bader
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
Showing 1 comment.
ya, its me, the greatest of all time. Have never even been wrong once. Ryan the darth of darths and the baders of baders will dismantle and rip evans piece from piece and limb from limb.
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