UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Lytle vs Hardy

2,007

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Lytle

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
52% chance Lytle
WILL WIN

1,995

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Chris Lytle
Much better submission offense 8.7 vs 6.7 Around 30% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Better striker 9.1 vs 8.5 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Better submission defense 9.8 vs 9.0 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Fast finishes 8.3 vs 7.8 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Puts up a fight 9.9 vs 9.3 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Stronger jaw 9.3 vs 9.1 Almost the same
Advantages for Dan Hardy
Much heavier hands 8.2 vs 6.6 More than 25% better at knocking out good defenders
Much longer reach 188 cm vs 173 cm Around 10% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Significantly stronger takedown offense 7.8 vs 7.1 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Younger 36 years vs 43 years More than 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Harder to hit 8.6 vs 8.3 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Taller 183 cm vs 180 cm Almost the same
Lytle on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Hardy’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Chris
Lytle
In 13:03, how much damage will he do? Lytle Hardy
Significant Strikes77
Lytle's excellent striking offense will dominate Hardy's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 118 Significant Strikes in 13:03
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Lytle's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Hardy's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 13:03
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Lytle is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Lytle has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Lytle is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Hardy on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Lytle’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Dan
Hardy
In 13:03, how much damage will he do? Hardy Lytle
Significant Strikes68
Hardy's average striking offense may be a factor against Lytle's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 118 Significant Strikes in 13:03
Average
Striking
vs
Below average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Hardy's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Lytle's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 13:03
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Hardy has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Hardy is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Hardy has a chance to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Lytle 9.1
fighter Hardy 8.5
Great striking by Lytle
127 strikes Aug 14, 2011 vs Hardy
153 strikes Sep 25, 2010 vs Serra
12 strikes Feb 02, 2008 vs Bradley

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Lytle 7.1
fighter Hardy 7.8
Great takedowns by Hardy
3 takedowns Sep 29, 2012 vs Sadollah
1 takedown Nov 14, 2009 vs Swick
1 takedown Jun 13, 2009 vs Davis

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Lytle 6.6
fighter Hardy 8.2
Great knockouts by Hardy
Round 1 May 26, 2012 vs Ludwig
Round 1 Feb 21, 2009 vs Markham
Round 3 Apr 19, 2008 vs Reiner

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Lytle 8.7
fighter Hardy 6.7
Great submissions by Lytle
Round 3 Aug 14, 2011 vs Hardy
Round 1 Feb 20, 2010 vs Foster
Round 2 Aug 21, 2004 vs Jhun

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Lytle 8.3
fighter Hardy 7.8
Fast finishes by Lytle
856 seconds Aug 14, 2011 vs Hardy
101 seconds Feb 20, 2010 vs Foster
33 seconds Feb 02, 2008 vs Bradley
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
R3 SUBX
XDEC
1,9531,983
2,0071,929
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Lytle
legend Hardy
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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