UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Lytle vs Taylor

2,007

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Lytle

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
79% chance Lytle
WILL WIN

1,774

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Chris Lytle
Much better submission offense 8.7 vs 6.6 More than 30% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much better submission defense 9.8 vs 8.5 Around 15% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Fast finishes 8.3 vs 7.6 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Puts up a fight 9.9 vs 9.0 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better striker 9.1 vs 8.8 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Stronger jaw 9.3 vs 8.9 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better takedown defense 8.3 vs 8.0 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Heavier 169 lbs vs 155 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Harder to hit 8.3 vs 8.2 Almost the same
Advantages for Paul Taylor
Much heavier hands 8.0 vs 6.6 More than 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Longer reach 183 cm vs 173 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Younger 38 years vs 44 years Around 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Stronger takedown offense 7.2 vs 7.1 Almost the same
Slightly taller 183 cm vs 180 cm Almost the same
Lytle on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Taylor’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Chris
Lytle
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Lytle Taylor
Significant Strikes100
Lytle's excellent striking offense will dominate Taylor's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Below average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Lytle's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Taylor's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Lytle is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Lytle has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Lytle has a chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Below average
Scoring ability
Taylor on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Lytle’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Paul
Taylor
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Taylor Lytle
Significant Strikes88
Taylor's good striking offense may be a factor against Lytle's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Below average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Taylor's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Lytle's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Taylor is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Taylor is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Taylor has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Lytle 9.1
fighter Taylor 8.8
Great striking by Lytle
127 strikes Aug 14, 2011 vs Hardy
153 strikes Sep 25, 2010 vs Serra
12 strikes Feb 02, 2008 vs Bradley

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Lytle 7.1
fighter Taylor 7.2
Great takedowns by Taylor
1 takedown Jun 07, 2008 vs Liaudin

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Lytle 6.6
fighter Taylor 8.0
Great knockouts by Taylor
Round 2 Feb 05, 2011 vs Ruediger
Round 3 Apr 21, 2007 vs de Oliveira
Round 3 Apr 10, 2005 vs Galesic

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Lytle 8.7
fighter Taylor 6.6
Great submissions by Lytle
Round 3 Aug 14, 2011 vs Hardy
Round 1 Feb 20, 2010 vs Foster
Round 2 Aug 21, 2004 vs Jhun

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Lytle 8.3
fighter Taylor 7.6
Fast finishes by Lytle
856 seconds Aug 14, 2011 vs Hardy
101 seconds Feb 20, 2010 vs Foster
33 seconds Feb 02, 2008 vs Bradley
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
October 18, 2008UFC 89
team
VS
team
R3 DECX
R2 SUBX
1,8561,748
1,8911,713
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Lytle
legend Taylor
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
comments powered by Disqus