UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Lytle vs Oishi

2,007

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Lytle

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
62% chance Lytle
WILL WIN

1,923

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Chris Lytle
Much better submission offense 8.7 vs 5.6 Around 55% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Fast finishes 8.3 vs 7.0 Around 20% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better striker 9.1 vs 8.2 More than 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Better submission defense 9.8 vs 9.3 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Taller 180 cm vs 173 cm Around 5% taller
Heavier 169 lbs vs 144 lbs More than 15% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Puts up a fight 9.9 vs 9.5 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Stronger jaw 9.3 vs 9.1 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Advantages for Koji Oishi
Much stronger takedown offense 8.5 vs 7.1 More than 20% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Much heavier hands 7.7 vs 6.6 More than 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Harder to hit 8.4 vs 8.3 Almost the same
Slightly younger 41 years vs 43 years Around 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Slightly better takedown defense 8.4 vs 8.3 Almost the same
Lytle on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Oishi’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Chris
Lytle
In 13:20, how much damage will he do? Lytle Oishi
Significant Strikes84
Lytle's excellent striking offense will dominate Oishi's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 120 Significant Strikes in 13:20
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Lytle's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Oishi's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 13:20
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Lytle is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Lytle has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Lytle is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Oishi on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Lytle’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Koji
Oishi
In 13:20, how much damage will he do? Oishi Lytle
Significant Strikes60
Oishi's average striking offense may be a factor against Lytle's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 120 Significant Strikes in 13:20
Average
Striking
vs
Below average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Oishi's average takedown offense is matched by Lytle's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 13:20
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Oishi is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Oishi is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Oishi has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Lytle 9.1
fighter Oishi 8.2
Great striking by Lytle
127 strikes Aug 14, 2011 vs Hardy
153 strikes Sep 25, 2010 vs Serra
12 strikes Feb 02, 2008 vs Bradley

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Lytle 6.6
fighter Oishi 7.7
Great knockouts by Oishi
Round 3 Dec 06, 2013 vs Banario
Round 2 May 31, 2013 vs Banario
Round 3 Aug 24, 2012 vs Hill

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Lytle 8.7
fighter Oishi 5.6
Great submissions by Lytle
Round 3 Aug 14, 2011 vs Hardy
Round 1 Feb 20, 2010 vs Foster
Round 2 Aug 21, 2004 vs Jhun

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Lytle 8.3
fighter Oishi 7.0
Fast finishes by Lytle
856 seconds Aug 14, 2011 vs Hardy
101 seconds Feb 20, 2010 vs Foster
33 seconds Feb 02, 2008 vs Bradley
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
April 12, 2003Pancrase - Hybrid 4
team
VS
team
XR3 DEC
R1 SUBX
1,7321,682
1,6751,739
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Lytle
legend Oishi
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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