UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Guillard vs Pearson

1,960

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Guillard

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
56% chance Guillard
WILL WIN

1,919

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Melvin Guillard
Much harder to hit 9.2 vs 8.4 Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly heavier hands 8.9 vs 7.9 Around 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly fast finishes 8.5 vs 7.9 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly stronger jaw 9.2 vs 8.4 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better striker 9.1 vs 8.9 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Longer reach 180 cm vs 175 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Taller 175 cm vs 173 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Ross Pearson
Much better submission offense 7.3 vs 5.7 More than 25% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.1 vs 7.2 More than 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Guillard on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Pearson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Melvin
Guillard
In 10:48, how much damage will he do? Guillard Pearson
Significant Strikes68
Guillard's excellent striking offense will dominate Pearson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 97 Significant Strikes in 10:48
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Guillard's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Pearson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:48
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Guillard has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Guillard is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Guillard is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Pearson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Guillard’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Ross
Pearson
In 10:48, how much damage will he do? Pearson Guillard
Significant Strikes44
Pearson's good striking offense won't be a factor against Guillard's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 97 Significant Strikes in 10:48
Good
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Pearson's average takedown offense is matched by Guillard's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:48
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Pearson is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Pearson is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Pearson is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Guillard 9.1
fighter Pearson 8.9
Great striking by Guillard
17 strikes Jul 02, 2011 vs Roller
17 strikes Jan 22, 2011 vs Dunham
73 strikes Sep 25, 2010 vs Stephens

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Guillard 7.2
fighter Pearson 8.1
Great takedowns by Pearson
1 takedown Apr 06, 2013 vs Couture
1 takedown Dec 30, 2011 vs Assuncao
3 takedowns Feb 27, 2011 vs Fisher

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Guillard 8.9
fighter Pearson 7.9
Great knockouts by Guillard
Round 2 Jul 27, 2013 vs Danzig
Round 1 Jul 02, 2011 vs Roller
Round 1 Jan 22, 2011 vs Dunham

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Guillard 5.7
fighter Pearson 7.3
Great submissions by Pearson
Round 1 Nov 01, 2008 vs Jones
Round 1 May 31, 2008 vs Celerier
Round 3 May 03, 2008 vs Marron

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Guillard 8.5
fighter Pearson 7.9
Fast finishes by Guillard
467 seconds Jul 27, 2013 vs Danzig
132 seconds Jul 02, 2011 vs Roller
178 seconds Jan 22, 2011 vs Dunham
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
October 26, 2013UFC Fight Night 30
team
VS
team
XX
XX
00
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Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Guillard
legend Pearson
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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