UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Spratt vs Means

1,757

CageRank

WINNER
Means

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
76% chance Means
WILL WIN

1,953

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Tim Means
Better striker 8.8 vs 7.8 Around 15% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly younger 34 years vs 47 years Around 30% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Significantly better takedown defense 8.2 vs 7.3 More than 10% better at avoiding being taken down
A lot taller 188 cm vs 175 cm More than 5% taller
Significantly fast finishes 8.6 vs 7.8 More than 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly stronger takedown offense 7.9 vs 7.2 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly longer reach 191 cm vs 182 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Heavier hands 8.8 vs 8.1 Around 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Better submission defense 8.6 vs 7.9 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 9.1 vs 8.7 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Advantages for Pete Spratt
Much harder to hit 9.3 vs 8.6 Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Better submission offense 6.9 vs 6.4 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Means on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Spratt’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Tim
Means
In 10:15, how much damage will he do? Means Spratt
Significant Strikes37
Means's good striking offense won't be a factor against Spratt's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 92 Significant Strikes in 10:15
Good
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Means's below average takedown offense may be a factor against Spratt's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:15
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Poor
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Means has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Means is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Means is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Spratt on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Means’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Pete
Spratt
In 10:15, how much damage will he do? Spratt Means
Significant Strikes30
Spratt's below average striking offense won't be a factor against Means's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 92 Significant Strikes in 10:15
Below average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Spratt's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Means's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:15
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Spratt has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Spratt is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Spratt is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Means 8.8
fighter Spratt 7.8
Great striking by Means
26 strikes Jun 08, 2012 vs Salas
83 strikes Feb 15, 2012 vs Magalhaes

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Means 8.8
fighter Spratt 8.1
Great knockouts by Means
Round 1 Sep 13, 2013 vs Spratt
Round 1 Jun 08, 2012 vs Salas
Round 2 Oct 07, 2010 vs Green

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Means 6.4
fighter Spratt 6.9
Great submissions by Spratt
Round 2 Apr 08, 2011 vs Deeds
Round 2 Nov 11, 2006 vs Jackson
Round 2 Apr 25, 2003 vs Lawler

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Means 8.6
fighter Spratt 7.8
Fast finishes by Means
144 seconds Sep 13, 2013 vs Spratt
66 seconds Jun 08, 2012 vs Salas
600 seconds Oct 07, 2010 vs Green
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
September 13, 2013LFC 23
team
VS
team
XR1 KO
XDEC
1,7881,925
1,7561,956
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Means
legend Spratt
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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