UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Jackson vs Diaz

1,680

CageRank

WINNER
Diaz

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
94% chance Diaz
WILL WIN

2,151

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Nick Diaz
Better striker 9.7 vs 7.9 More than 20% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Much better submission defense 9.5 vs 7.4 Around 30% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 9.9 vs 7.9 More than 25% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Much stronger jaw 9.8 vs 8.2 Around 20% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Much better takedown defense 8.8 vs 7.7 Around 15% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly better submission offense 8.0 vs 7.0 Around 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
A lot taller 185 cm vs 178 cm Around 5% taller
Significantly fast finishes 8.7 vs 8.0 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Longer reach 193 cm vs 187 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Heavier hands 8.4 vs 7.9 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Advantages for Jeremy Jackson
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.3 vs 7.6 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Diaz on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Jackson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Nick
Diaz
In 6:14, how much damage will he do? Diaz Jackson
Significant Strikes46
Diaz's excellent striking offense will dominate Jackson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 56 Significant Strikes in 6:14
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Diaz's below average takedown offense is matched by Jackson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 3 Takedowns in 6:14
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Below average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Diaz has a good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Diaz has a very good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Diaz is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Jackson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Diaz’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jeremy
Jackson
In 6:14, how much damage will he do? Jackson Diaz
Significant Strikes24
Jackson's below average striking offense won't be a factor against Diaz's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 56 Significant Strikes in 6:14
Below average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Jackson's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Diaz's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 3 Takedowns in 6:14
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Jackson is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Jackson is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Jackson is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Diaz 9.7
fighter Jackson 8.0
Great striking by Diaz
178 strikes Oct 29, 2011 vs Penn
44 strikes Apr 09, 2011 vs Daley
13 strikes Feb 05, 2005 vs Fickett

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Diaz 8.4
fighter Jackson 7.9
Great knockouts by Diaz
Round 1 Apr 09, 2011 vs Daley
Round 1 Jan 30, 2010 vs Zaromskis
Round 1 Feb 05, 2005 vs Fickett

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Diaz 8.0
fighter Jackson 7.0
Great submissions by Diaz
Round 1 May 29, 2010 vs Sakurai
Round 3 Jun 06, 2009 vs Smith
Round 3 Aug 26, 2006 vs Neer

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Diaz 8.7
fighter Jackson 8.0
Fast finishes by Diaz
297 seconds Apr 09, 2011 vs Daley
278 seconds Jan 30, 2010 vs Zaromskis
280 seconds Feb 05, 2005 vs Fickett
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
September 26, 2003UFC 44
team
VS
team
XR3 SUB
XR2 KO
1,7041,733
1,6581,779
team
VS
team
XR1 KO
R2 KOX
1,7671,670
1,7041,733
September 28, 2002UA 4 - King of the Mountain
team
VS
team
R1 KOX
XR2 SUB
1,6331,700
1,6931,640
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Diaz
legend Jackson
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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