UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Herring vs Belfort

1,820

CageRank

WINNER
Belfort

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
91% chance Belfort
WILL WIN

2,220

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Vitor Belfort
Fast finishes 10.0 vs 7.5 Around 35% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much heavier hands 10.0 vs 7.4 Around 35% better at knocking out good defenders
Much harder to hit 9.8 vs 8.9 Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Much better takedown defense 9.2 vs 8.0 More than 15% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly better striker 9.2 vs 8.6 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly stronger jaw 9.4 vs 8.7 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.6 vs 9.1 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Advantages for Heath Herring
Much heavier 250 lbs vs 184 lbs More than 35% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
A lot taller 193 cm vs 183 cm More than 5% taller
Longer reach 198 cm vs 188 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Better submission defense 9.3 vs 8.8 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Stronger takedown offense 7.9 vs 7.5 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Better submission offense 7.0 vs 6.9 Almost the same
Belfort on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Herring’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Vitor
Belfort
In 6:24, how much damage will he do? Belfort Herring
Significant Strikes34
Belfort's excellent striking offense will dominate Herring's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 58 Significant Strikes in 6:24
Excellent
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Belfort's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Herring's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 6:24
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Belfort has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Belfort is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Belfort is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Herring on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Belfort’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Heath
Herring
In 6:24, how much damage will he do? Herring Belfort
Significant Strikes15
Herring's good striking offense won't be a factor against Belfort's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 58 Significant Strikes in 6:24
Good
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Herring's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Belfort's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 6:24
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Herring is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Herring is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Herring is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Belfort 9.2
fighter Herring 8.7
Great striking by Belfort
12 strikes Nov 09, 2013 vs Henderson
18 strikes Jan 19, 2013 vs Bisping
6 strikes Jan 24, 2009 vs Lindland

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Belfort 7.6
fighter Herring 7.9
Great takedowns by Herring
3 takedowns Mar 01, 2008 vs Kongo
1 takedown Feb 01, 2004 vs McGee
2 takedowns Feb 24, 2002 vs Vovchanchyn

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Belfort 10.0
fighter Herring 7.4
Great knockouts by Belfort
Round 1 Nov 09, 2013 vs Henderson
Round 2 Jan 19, 2013 vs Bisping
Round 1 Sep 19, 2009 vs Franklin

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Belfort 6.9
fighter Herring 7.0
Great submissions by Herring
Round 1 Oct 31, 2000 vs Erikson
Round 1 Jul 01, 1999 vs Sultanmagomedov
Round 1 Nov 22, 1997 vs Tanner

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Belfort 10.0
fighter Herring 7.5
Fast finishes by Belfort
77 seconds Nov 09, 2013 vs Henderson
387 seconds Jan 19, 2013 vs Bisping
182 seconds Sep 19, 2009 vs Franklin
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
May 27, 2001Pride 14
team
VS
team
XR3 DEC
R2 SUBX
1,8391,790
1,7821,847
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Belfort
legend Herring
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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