UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Edgar vs Bocek

2,131

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Edgar

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
70% chance Edgar
WILL WIN

1,981

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Frankie Edgar
Much heavier hands 7.7 vs 6.7 Around 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Better striker 9.1 vs 8.3 Around 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly stronger jaw 9.2 vs 8.4 More than 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.6 vs 9.1 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better takedown defense 9.2 vs 8.9 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Better submission defense 9.4 vs 9.1 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Advantages for Mark Bocek
Much better submission offense 8.2 vs 7.2 Around 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly fast finishes 8.0 vs 7.5 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Taller 175 cm vs 168 cm Around 5% taller
Longer reach 191 cm vs 183 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Stronger takedown offense 9.2 vs 9.0 Almost the same
Heavier 155 lbs vs 144 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Edgar on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Bocek’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Frankie
Edgar
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Edgar Bocek
Significant Strikes74
Edgar's excellent striking offense will dominate Bocek's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Edgar's good takedown offense is matched by Bocek's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Edgar has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Edgar is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Edgar has a very good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Bocek on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Edgar’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Mark
Bocek
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Bocek Edgar
Significant Strikes47
Bocek's average striking offense won't be a factor against Edgar's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Bocek's excellent takedown offense is matched by Edgar's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Bocek is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Bocek has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Bocek has a good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Edgar 9.1
fighter Bocek 8.3
Great striking by Edgar
61 strikes Oct 08, 2011 vs Maynard
61 strikes Apr 10, 2010 vs Penn
74 strikes May 23, 2009 vs Sherk

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Edgar 9.0
fighter Bocek 9.2
Great takedowns by Bocek
5 takedowns Apr 21, 2012 vs Alessio
5 takedowns Dec 10, 2011 vs Lentz
1 takedown Dec 11, 2010 vs Hazelett

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Edgar 7.7
fighter Bocek 6.7
Great knockouts by Edgar
Round 4 Oct 08, 2011 vs Maynard
Round 1 Jul 07, 2007 vs Bocek
Round 1 Jul 10, 2005 vs Uresk

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Edgar 7.2
fighter Bocek 8.2
Great submissions by Bocek
Round 1 Dec 11, 2010 vs Hazelett
Round 1 Dec 05, 2009 vs Brammer
Round 1 Mar 28, 2007 vs Davis

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Edgar 7.5
fighter Bocek 8.0
Fast finishes by Bocek
153 seconds Dec 11, 2010 vs Hazelett
216 seconds Dec 05, 2009 vs Brammer
155 seconds Mar 28, 2007 vs Davis
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
July 7, 2007UFC 73
team
VS
team
R1 KOX
DECX
1,8271,750
1,8661,711
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Edgar
legend Bocek
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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