UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Edgar vs Stephens

2,131

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Edgar

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
71% chance Edgar
WILL WIN

1,978

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Frankie Edgar
Much stronger takedown offense 9.0 vs 8.0 Around 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Better striker 9.1 vs 8.5 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly better submission offense 7.2 vs 6.5 More than 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Better takedown defense 9.2 vs 8.8 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Longer reach 183 cm vs 180 cm Almost the same
Puts up a fight 9.6 vs 9.4 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better submission defense 9.4 vs 9.2 Almost the same
Advantages for Jeremy Stephens
A lot taller 175 cm vs 168 cm Around 5% taller
Fast finishes 8.0 vs 7.5 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Younger 30 years vs 35 years Around 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Heavier hands 8.2 vs 7.7 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Edgar on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Stephens’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Frankie
Edgar
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Edgar Stephens
Significant Strikes74
Edgar's excellent striking offense will dominate Stephens's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Edgar's good takedown offense is matched by Stephens's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Edgar is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Edgar is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Edgar has a very good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Stephens on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Edgar’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jeremy
Stephens
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Stephens Edgar
Significant Strikes55
Stephens's average striking offense won't be a factor against Edgar's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Stephens's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Edgar's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Stephens has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Stephens is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Stephens is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Edgar 9.1
fighter Stephens 8.5
Great striking by Edgar
61 strikes Oct 08, 2011 vs Maynard
61 strikes Apr 10, 2010 vs Penn
74 strikes May 23, 2009 vs Sherk

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Edgar 9.0
fighter Stephens 8.0
Great takedowns by Edgar
3 takedowns Aug 28, 2010 vs Penn
1 takedown Apr 10, 2010 vs Penn
1 takedown May 23, 2009 vs Sherk

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Edgar 7.7
fighter Stephens 8.2
Great knockouts by Stephens
Round 1 Nov 09, 2013 vs Mariano Bezerra
Round 3 Jan 01, 2011 vs Davis
Round 2 Jan 23, 2008 vs Miller

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Edgar 7.2
fighter Stephens 6.5
Great submissions by Edgar
Round 2 Dec 05, 2009 vs Veach
Round 1 Apr 14, 2006 vs McCabe
Round 1 Dec 10, 2005 vs Isip

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Edgar 7.5
fighter Stephens 8.0
Fast finishes by Stephens
40 seconds Nov 09, 2013 vs Mariano Bezerra
753 seconds Jan 01, 2011 vs Davis
584 seconds Jan 23, 2008 vs Miller
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
November 12, 2016UFC 205
team
VS
team
R3 DECX
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Edgar
legend Stephens
Read More
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Fantasy Cage Match
Stephens vs McGregor
Fantasy Cage Match
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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