UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Edgar vs Veach

2,131

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Edgar

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
88% chance Edgar
WILL WIN

1,792

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Frankie Edgar
Much better submission defense 9.4 vs 7.2 More than 30% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Better striker 9.1 vs 8.1 More than 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Puts up a fight 9.6 vs 8.0 Around 20% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Much harder to hit 9.0 vs 8.3 Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Heavier hands 7.7 vs 7.4 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Better takedown defense 9.2 vs 8.8 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Longer reach 183 cm vs 177 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Stronger jaw 9.2 vs 9.1 Almost the same
Advantages for Matt Veach
Fast finishes 7.8 vs 7.5 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Heavier 169 lbs vs 144 lbs More than 15% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Taller 170 cm vs 168 cm Almost the same
Edgar on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Veach’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Frankie
Edgar
In 11:37, how much damage will he do? Edgar Veach
Significant Strikes75
Edgar's excellent striking offense will dominate Veach's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 105 Significant Strikes in 11:37
Excellent
Striking
vs
Below average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Edgar's good takedown offense is matched by Veach's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:37
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Edgar is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Edgar has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Edgar has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Veach on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Edgar’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Matt
Veach
In 11:37, how much damage will he do? Veach Edgar
Significant Strikes32
Veach's average striking offense won't be a factor against Edgar's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 105 Significant Strikes in 11:37
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Veach's good takedown offense won't be a factor against Edgar's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:37
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Veach is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Veach is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Veach is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Edgar 9.1
fighter Veach 8.1
Great striking by Edgar
61 strikes Oct 08, 2011 vs Maynard
61 strikes Apr 10, 2010 vs Penn
74 strikes May 23, 2009 vs Sherk

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Edgar 9.0
fighter Veach 8.9
Great takedowns by Edgar
3 takedowns Aug 28, 2010 vs Penn
1 takedown Apr 10, 2010 vs Penn
1 takedown May 23, 2009 vs Sherk

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Edgar 7.7
fighter Veach 7.4
Great knockouts by Edgar
Round 4 Oct 08, 2011 vs Maynard
Round 1 Jul 07, 2007 vs Bocek
Round 1 Jul 10, 2005 vs Uresk

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Edgar 7.2
fighter Veach 7.2
Great submissions by Edgar
Round 2 Dec 05, 2009 vs Veach
Round 1 Apr 14, 2006 vs McCabe
Round 1 Dec 10, 2005 vs Isip

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Edgar 7.5
fighter Veach 7.8
Fast finishes by Veach
298 seconds Aug 18, 2012 vs Kelley
274 seconds Feb 07, 2009 vs Grice
388 seconds Oct 04, 2008 vs Brandao
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
December 5, 2009TUF 10 Finale
team
VS
team
R2 SUBX
DECX
1,9941,884
2,0291,849
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Edgar
legend Veach
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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