UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Edgar vs Maynard

2,131

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Edgar

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
67% chance Edgar
WILL WIN

2,005

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Frankie Edgar
Much stronger jaw 9.2 vs 7.4 More than 25% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better striker 9.1 vs 8.5 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly harder to hit 9.0 vs 8.5 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Puts up a fight 9.6 vs 8.4 More than 15% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly better submission offense 7.2 vs 6.5 More than 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Stronger takedown offense 9.0 vs 8.5 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Heavier hands 7.7 vs 7.2 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Longer reach 183 cm vs 178 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Fast finishes 7.5 vs 7.3 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Younger 35 years vs 37 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Gray Maynard
Taller 173 cm vs 168 cm Around 5% taller
Better takedown defense 9.6 vs 9.2 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Edgar on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Maynard’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Frankie
Edgar
In 12:35, how much damage will he do? Edgar Maynard
Significant Strikes77
Edgar's excellent striking offense will dominate Maynard's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 113 Significant Strikes in 12:35
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Edgar's good takedown offense won't be a factor against Maynard's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 12:35
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Edgar has a chance to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Edgar is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Edgar has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Maynard on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Edgar’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Gray
Maynard
In 12:35, how much damage will he do? Maynard Edgar
Significant Strikes46
Maynard's average striking offense won't be a factor against Edgar's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 113 Significant Strikes in 12:35
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Maynard's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Edgar's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 12:35
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Maynard is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Maynard is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Maynard has a good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Edgar 9.1
fighter Maynard 8.5
Great striking by Edgar
61 strikes Oct 08, 2011 vs Maynard
61 strikes Apr 10, 2010 vs Penn
74 strikes May 23, 2009 vs Sherk

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Edgar 9.0
fighter Maynard 8.5
Great takedowns by Edgar
3 takedowns Aug 28, 2010 vs Penn
1 takedown Apr 10, 2010 vs Penn
1 takedown May 23, 2009 vs Sherk

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Edgar 7.7
fighter Maynard 7.2
Great knockouts by Edgar
Round 4 Oct 08, 2011 vs Maynard
Round 1 Jul 07, 2007 vs Bocek
Round 1 Jul 10, 2005 vs Uresk

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Edgar 7.2
fighter Maynard 6.5
Great submissions by Edgar
Round 2 Dec 05, 2009 vs Veach
Round 1 Apr 14, 2006 vs McCabe
Round 1 Dec 10, 2005 vs Isip

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Edgar 7.5
fighter Maynard 7.3
Fast finishes by Edgar
1134 seconds Oct 08, 2011 vs Maynard
442 seconds Dec 05, 2009 vs Veach
295 seconds Jul 07, 2007 vs Bocek
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
October 8, 2011UFC 136
team
VS
team
R4 KOX
DECX
2,1392,124
2,1872,077
January 1, 2011UFC 125
team
VS
team
XX
DECX
2,1422,122
2,1392,124
April 2, 2008UFC Fight Night 13
team
VS
team
XR3 DEC
DECX
1,9301,760
1,8571,832
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Edgar
legend Maynard
Read More
Edgar vs McGregor
Fantasy Cage Match
Maynard vs McGregor
Fantasy Cage Match
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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