UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Edgar vs Sherk

2,131

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Edgar

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
60% chance Edgar
WILL WIN

2,059

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Frankie Edgar
Much heavier hands 7.7 vs 6.7 More than 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly better striker 9.1 vs 8.6 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly harder to hit 9.0 vs 8.5 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly longer reach 183 cm vs 170 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Significantly younger 35 years vs 44 years More than 20% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Stronger jaw 9.2 vs 8.7 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Advantages for Sean Sherk
Significantly better submission offense 7.9 vs 7.2 Around 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Fast finishes 7.9 vs 7.5 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better submission defense 9.8 vs 9.4 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Better takedown defense 9.4 vs 9.2 Almost the same
Heavier 155 lbs vs 144 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Stronger takedown offense 9.2 vs 9.0 Almost the same
Edgar on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Sherk’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Frankie
Edgar
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Edgar Sherk
Significant Strikes89
Edgar's excellent striking offense will dominate Sherk's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Edgar's good takedown offense won't be a factor against Sherk's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Edgar is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Edgar is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Edgar has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Sherk on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Edgar’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Sean
Sherk
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Sherk Edgar
Significant Strikes57
Sherk's average striking offense won't be a factor against Edgar's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Sherk's excellent takedown offense is matched by Edgar's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Sherk is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Sherk is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Sherk has a good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Edgar 9.1
fighter Sherk 8.6
Great striking by Edgar
61 strikes Oct 08, 2011 vs Maynard
61 strikes Apr 10, 2010 vs Penn
74 strikes May 23, 2009 vs Sherk

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Edgar 9.0
fighter Sherk 9.2
Great takedowns by Sherk
5 takedowns Sep 25, 2010 vs Dunham
3 takedowns Oct 25, 2008 vs Griffin
16 takedowns Jul 07, 2007 vs Franca

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Edgar 7.7
fighter Sherk 6.7
Great knockouts by Edgar
Round 4 Oct 08, 2011 vs Maynard
Round 1 Jul 07, 2007 vs Bocek
Round 1 Jul 10, 2005 vs Uresk

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Edgar 7.2
fighter Sherk 7.9
Great submissions by Sherk
Round 1 Sep 23, 2004 vs Farber
Round 1 Apr 30, 2004 vs Short
Round 1 Dec 07, 2002 vs Alexander

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Edgar 7.5
fighter Sherk 7.9
Fast finishes by Sherk
55 seconds Sep 23, 2004 vs Farber
97 seconds Apr 30, 2004 vs Short
256 seconds Sep 27, 2002 vs Radach
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
May 23, 2009UFC 98
team
VS
team
R3 DECX
XDEC
1,9232,081
1,9942,010
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Edgar
legend Sherk
Read More
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Fantasy Cage Match
Sherk vs McGregor
Fantasy Cage Match
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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