UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Edgar vs Dillashaw

2,131

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Edgar

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
69% chance Edgar
WILL WIN

1,994

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Frankie Edgar
Much stronger jaw 9.2 vs 8.2 More than 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.6 vs 8.6 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly better submission defense 9.4 vs 8.6 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Significantly better striker 9.1 vs 8.7 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Harder to hit 9.0 vs 8.7 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Heavier 144 lbs vs 134 lbs More than 5% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Advantages for T.J. Dillashaw
Significantly fast finishes 8.1 vs 7.5 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly heavier hands 8.2 vs 7.7 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Better submission offense 7.5 vs 7.2 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Younger 31 years vs 35 years More than 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Stronger takedown offense 9.1 vs 9.0 Almost the same
Edgar on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Dillashaw’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Frankie
Edgar
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Edgar Dillashaw
Significant Strikes84
Edgar's excellent striking offense will dominate Dillashaw's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Edgar's good takedown offense is matched by Dillashaw's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Edgar has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Edgar is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Edgar has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Dillashaw on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Edgar’s defensive skills
Predictions For
T.J.
Dillashaw
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Dillashaw Edgar
Significant Strikes60
Dillashaw's good striking offense is matched by Edgar's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Dillashaw's good takedown offense won't be a factor against Edgar's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Dillashaw has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Dillashaw is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Dillashaw is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Edgar 9.1
fighter Dillashaw 8.7
Great striking by Edgar
61 strikes Oct 08, 2011 vs Maynard
61 strikes Apr 10, 2010 vs Penn
74 strikes May 23, 2009 vs Sherk

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Edgar 9.0
fighter Dillashaw 9.1
Great takedowns by Dillashaw
2 takedowns Jan 15, 2014 vs Easton
1 takedown Apr 20, 2013 vs Viana
2 takedowns Mar 16, 2013 vs Tamura

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Edgar 7.7
fighter Dillashaw 8.2
Great knockouts by Dillashaw
Round 1 Apr 20, 2013 vs Viana
Round 2 Mar 16, 2013 vs Tamura
Round 3 Nov 20, 2010 vs McCorriston

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Edgar 7.2
fighter Dillashaw 7.5
Great submissions by Dillashaw
Round 1 Jul 11, 2012 vs Lee
Round 1 Oct 02, 2010 vs Suarez
Round 1 May 22, 2010 vs Drucker

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Edgar 7.5
fighter Dillashaw 8.1
Fast finishes by Dillashaw
262 seconds Apr 20, 2013 vs Viana
153 seconds Jul 11, 2012 vs Lee
667 seconds Nov 20, 2010 vs McCorriston
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Edgar
legend Dillashaw
Read More
Edgar vs McGregor
Fantasy Cage Match
Dillashaw vs McGregor
Fantasy Cage Match
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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