UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Edgar vs Aldo

2,131

CageRank

WINNER
Aldo

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
73% chance Aldo
WILL WIN

2,308

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Jose Aldo
Fast finishes 8.7 vs 7.5 More than 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much heavier hands 8.8 vs 7.7 Around 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Younger 30 years vs 35 years Around 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Harder to hit 9.2 vs 9.0 Almost the same
Better takedown defense 9.5 vs 9.2 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Taller 170 cm vs 168 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Frankie Edgar
Much stronger takedown offense 9.0 vs 7.9 Around 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly better submission offense 7.2 vs 6.6 More than 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Better striker 9.1 vs 8.9 Almost the same
Longer reach 183 cm vs 178 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Slightly stronger jaw 9.2 vs 9.1 Almost the same
Aldo on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Edgar’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jose
Aldo
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Aldo Edgar
Significant Strikes66
Aldo's good striking offense is matched by Edgar's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Aldo's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Edgar's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Aldo has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Aldo is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Aldo has a good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Edgar on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Aldo’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Frankie
Edgar
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Edgar Aldo
Significant Strikes67
Edgar's excellent striking offense is matched by Aldo's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Edgar's good takedown offense won't be a factor against Aldo's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Edgar is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Edgar is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Edgar has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Aldo 8.9
fighter Edgar 9.1
Great striking by Edgar
61 strikes Oct 08, 2011 vs Maynard
61 strikes Apr 10, 2010 vs Penn
74 strikes May 23, 2009 vs Sherk

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Aldo 7.9
fighter Edgar 9.0
Great takedowns by Edgar
3 takedowns Aug 28, 2010 vs Penn
1 takedown Apr 10, 2010 vs Penn
1 takedown May 23, 2009 vs Sherk

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Aldo 8.8
fighter Edgar 7.7
Great knockouts by Aldo
Round 1 Jan 14, 2012 vs Mendes
Round 2 Nov 18, 2009 vs Thomas Brown
Round 1 Jun 07, 2009 vs Swanson

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Aldo 6.6
fighter Edgar 7.2
Great submissions by Edgar
Round 2 Dec 05, 2009 vs Veach
Round 1 Apr 14, 2006 vs McCabe
Round 1 Dec 10, 2005 vs Isip

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Aldo 8.7
fighter Edgar 7.5
Fast finishes by Aldo
299 seconds Jan 14, 2012 vs Mendes
380 seconds Nov 18, 2009 vs Thomas Brown
8 seconds Jun 07, 2009 vs Swanson
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
July 9, 2016UFC 200
team
VS
team
XR5 DEC
XX
00
00
February 2, 2013UFC 156
team
VS
team
XR5 DEC
XR1 KO
2,0852,242
2,0562,271
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Aldo
legend Edgar
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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