UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Edgar vs Melendez

2,131

CageRank

WINNER
Melendez

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
66% chance Melendez
WILL WIN

2,243

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Gilbert Melendez
Fast finishes 8.3 vs 7.5 More than 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly heavier hands 8.3 vs 7.7 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Taller 175 cm vs 168 cm Around 5% taller
Better striker 9.3 vs 9.1 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Heavier 155 lbs vs 144 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Slightly longer reach 185 cm vs 183 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Frankie Edgar
Much better submission offense 7.2 vs 6.5 More than 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Melendez on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Edgar’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Gilbert
Melendez
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Melendez Edgar
Significant Strikes82
Melendez's excellent striking offense will dominate Edgar's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Melendez's good takedown offense won't be a factor against Edgar's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Melendez has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Melendez is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Melendez has a good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Edgar on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Melendez’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Frankie
Edgar
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Edgar Melendez
Significant Strikes75
Edgar's excellent striking offense will dominate Melendez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Edgar's good takedown offense won't be a factor against Melendez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Edgar is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Edgar is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Edgar has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Melendez 9.3
fighter Edgar 9.1
Great striking by Melendez
96 strikes Oct 19, 2013 vs Sanchez
33 strikes Apr 09, 2011 vs Kawajiri
69 strikes Apr 17, 2010 vs Aoki

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Melendez 8.9
fighter Edgar 9.0
Great takedowns by Edgar
3 takedowns Aug 28, 2010 vs Penn
1 takedown Apr 10, 2010 vs Penn
1 takedown May 23, 2009 vs Sherk

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Melendez 8.3
fighter Edgar 7.7
Great knockouts by Melendez
Round 1 Apr 09, 2011 vs Kawajiri
Round 3 Aug 15, 2009 vs Ishida
Round 2 Oct 10, 2003 vs Palling

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Melendez 6.5
fighter Edgar 7.2
Great submissions by Edgar
Round 2 Dec 05, 2009 vs Veach
Round 1 Apr 14, 2006 vs McCabe
Round 1 Dec 10, 2005 vs Isip

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Melendez 8.3
fighter Edgar 7.5
Fast finishes by Melendez
194 seconds Apr 09, 2011 vs Kawajiri
836 seconds Aug 15, 2009 vs Ishida
92 seconds Aug 20, 2005 vs Sato
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Melendez
legend Edgar
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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