UFC fight predictions and analysis
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CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Petz vs Grant

1,934

CageRank

WINNER
Grant

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
76% chance Grant
WILL WIN

2,138

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for T.J. Grant
Much better submission offense 8.2 vs 6.4 Around 30% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Better striker 9.1 vs 8.0 Around 15% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly fast finishes 8.3 vs 7.7 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly younger 33 years vs 42 years More than 20% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.1 vs 7.6 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Puts up a fight 9.4 vs 8.8 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Stronger jaw 9.2 vs 8.7 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better takedown defense 8.6 vs 8.4 Almost the same
Taller 178 cm vs 175 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Forrest Petz
Significantly heavier hands 8.3 vs 7.7 Around 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Heavier 184 lbs vs 155 lbs Around 20% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Harder to hit 8.4 vs 8.3 Almost the same
Grant on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Petz’s defensive skills
Predictions For
T.J.
Grant
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Grant Petz
Significant Strikes93
Grant's excellent striking offense will dominate Petz's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Grant's average takedown offense is matched by Petz's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Grant is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Grant has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Grant is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Petz on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Grant’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Forrest
Petz
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Petz Grant
Significant Strikes61
Petz's below average striking offense won't be a factor against Grant's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Below average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Petz's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Grant's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Petz has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Petz is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Petz is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Grant 9.1
fighter Petz 8.0
Great striking by Grant
26 strikes May 25, 2013 vs Maynard
54 strikes Jan 26, 2013 vs Wiman
164 strikes Sep 22, 2012 vs Dunham

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Grant 8.1
fighter Petz 7.6
Great takedowns by Grant
3 takedowns May 15, 2012 vs Prater
2 takedowns Oct 01, 2011 vs Roller
4 takedowns Sep 25, 2010 vs Paulino

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Grant 7.7
fighter Petz 8.3
Great knockouts by Petz
Round 1 Jul 30, 2011 vs Bears
Round 2 Apr 09, 2011 vs Kolosci
Round 1 Sep 18, 2009 vs Reiner

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Grant 8.2
fighter Petz 6.4
Great submissions by Grant
Round 3 Oct 01, 2011 vs Roller
Round 2 Oct 03, 2008 vs Petz
Round 3 Jun 21, 2008 vs Reiner

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Grant 8.3
fighter Petz 7.7
Fast finishes by Grant
127 seconds May 25, 2013 vs Maynard
291 seconds Jan 26, 2013 vs Wiman
732 seconds Oct 01, 2011 vs Roller
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
October 3, 2008TKO 35
team
VS
team
XR2 SUB
DECX
1,8501,837
1,7991,889
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Grant
legend Petz
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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