UFC fight predictions and analysis
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CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Petz vs Morgan

1,934

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Petz

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
89% chance Petz
WILL WIN

1,576

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Forrest Petz
Much heavier hands 8.3 vs 6.2 Around 35% better at knocking out good defenders
Much better takedown defense 8.4 vs 7.3 More than 15% better at avoiding being taken down
Puts up a fight 8.8 vs 7.5 More than 15% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly stronger jaw 8.7 vs 7.8 More than 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly better submission defense 8.9 vs 8.1 More than 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Significantly harder to hit 8.4 vs 8.1 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Heavier 184 lbs vs 164 lbs More than 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Fast finishes 7.7 vs 7.5 Almost the same
Better striker 8.0 vs 7.9 Almost the same
Advantages for Sam Morgan
Much better submission offense 7.6 vs 6.4 Around 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much stronger takedown offense 8.6 vs 7.6 Around 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Younger 36 years vs 42 years Around 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Taller 178 cm vs 175 cm Almost the same
Petz on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Morgan’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Forrest
Petz
In 8:51, how much damage will he do? Petz Morgan
Significant Strikes41
Petz's below average striking offense is matched by Morgan's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 80 Significant Strikes in 8:51
Below average
Striking
vs
Below average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Petz's below average takedown offense may be a factor against Morgan's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:51
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Poor
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Petz has a very good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Petz is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Petz is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Morgan on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Petz’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Sam
Morgan
In 8:51, how much damage will he do? Morgan Petz
Significant Strikes31
Morgan's below average striking offense won't be a factor against Petz's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 80 Significant Strikes in 8:51
Below average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Morgan's average takedown offense is matched by Petz's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:51
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Morgan is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Morgan is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Morgan is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Petz 8.0
fighter Morgan 7.9
Great striking by Petz
40 strikes Jun 12, 2007 vs Fioravanti
45 strikes Aug 17, 2006 vs Morgan

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Petz 8.3
fighter Morgan 6.2
Great knockouts by Petz
Round 1 Jul 30, 2011 vs Bears
Round 2 Apr 09, 2011 vs Kolosci
Round 1 Sep 18, 2009 vs Reiner

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Petz 6.4
fighter Morgan 7.6
Great submissions by Morgan
Round 1 Nov 14, 2003 vs Riley
Round 1 May 24, 2003 vs Severson
Round 1 Apr 18, 2003 vs Kirk

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Petz 7.7
fighter Morgan 7.5
Fast finishes by Petz
175 seconds Jul 30, 2011 vs Bears
357 seconds Apr 09, 2011 vs Kolosci
148 seconds Sep 18, 2009 vs Reiner
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
August 17, 2006UFC Fight Night 6
team
VS
team
R3 DECX
R2 KOX
1,8761,712
1,9041,684
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Petz
legend Morgan
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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