UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Petz vs Mein

1,934

CageRank

WINNER
Mein

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
67% chance Mein
WILL WIN

2,059

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Jordan Mein
Better striker 8.7 vs 8.0 Around 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Fast finishes 8.4 vs 7.7 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much younger 28 years vs 42 years Around 35% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Significantly better submission offense 6.8 vs 6.4 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Heavier hands 8.7 vs 8.3 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Puts up a fight 9.3 vs 8.8 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Stronger jaw 9.1 vs 8.7 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Taller 180 cm vs 175 cm Around 5% taller
Better submission defense 9.1 vs 8.9 Almost the same
Advantages for Forrest Petz
Heavier 184 lbs vs 169 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Mein on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Petz’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jordan
Mein
In 11:10, how much damage will he do? Mein Petz
Significant Strikes60
Mein's good striking offense may be a factor against Petz's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 100 Significant Strikes in 11:10
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Mein's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Petz's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:10
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Mein has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Mein is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Mein is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Petz on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Mein’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Forrest
Petz
In 11:10, how much damage will he do? Petz Mein
Significant Strikes43
Petz's below average striking offense won't be a factor against Mein's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 100 Significant Strikes in 11:10
Below average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Petz's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Mein's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:10
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Petz has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Petz is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Petz is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Mein 8.7
fighter Petz 8.0
Great striking by Mein
29 strikes Mar 16, 2013 vs Miller
92 strikes Jul 14, 2012 vs Stinson
68 strikes Sep 10, 2011 vs Santos

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Mein 8.7
fighter Petz 8.3
Great knockouts by Mein
Round 1 Mar 16, 2013 vs Miller
Round 1 Nov 23, 2012 vs Petz
Round 2 Jan 28, 2011 vs Riggs

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Mein 6.8
fighter Petz 6.4
Great submissions by Mein
Round 1 Feb 19, 2011 vs Allen
Round 1 Apr 23, 2010 vs Bachman
Round 2 Mar 13, 2009 vs Machan

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Mein 8.4
fighter Petz 7.7
Fast finishes by Mein
282 seconds Mar 16, 2013 vs Miller
89 seconds Nov 23, 2012 vs Petz
570 seconds Jan 28, 2011 vs Riggs
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
November 23, 2012SFS 7
team
VS
team
XR1 KO
XDEC
1,9362,016
1,8972,054
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Mein
legend Petz
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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