UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Burkman vs Morgan

2,084

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Burkman

prediction

BY KO ROUND 1

prediction
95% chance Burkman
WILL WIN

1,576

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Josh Burkman
Much heavier hands 7.9 vs 6.2 More than 25% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 8.7 vs 7.5 More than 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Puts up a fight 9.6 vs 7.5 Around 30% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Much stronger jaw 9.6 vs 7.8 Around 25% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Much better takedown defense 8.6 vs 7.3 More than 15% better at avoiding being taken down
Better striker 8.5 vs 7.9 Around 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly harder to hit 8.6 vs 8.1 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Better submission defense 8.6 vs 8.1 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Stronger takedown offense 8.9 vs 8.6 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Better submission offense 7.7 vs 7.6 Almost the same
Advantages for Sam Morgan
Slightly heavier 164 lbs vs 155 lbs More than 5% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Burkman on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Morgan’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Josh
Burkman
In 4:29, how much damage will he do? Burkman Morgan
Significant Strikes26
Burkman's average striking offense may be a factor against Morgan's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 40 Significant Strikes in 4:29
Average
Striking
vs
Below average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Burkman's good takedown offense may be a factor against Morgan's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 2 Takedowns in 4:29
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Poor
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Burkman has a chance to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Burkman has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Burkman is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Morgan on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Burkman’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Sam
Morgan
In 4:29, how much damage will he do? Morgan Burkman
Significant Strikes14
Morgan's below average striking offense won't be a factor against Burkman's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 40 Significant Strikes in 4:29
Below average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Morgan's average takedown offense is matched by Burkman's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 2 Takedowns in 4:29
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Morgan is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Morgan is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Morgan is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Burkman 8.5
fighter Morgan 7.9
Great striking by Burkman
27 strikes Jan 25, 2007 vs Reiner
35 strikes Jul 08, 2006 vs Neer
7 strikes Jan 16, 2006 vs Fickett

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Burkman 8.9
fighter Morgan 8.6
Great takedowns by Burkman
3 takedowns Oct 20, 2007 vs Petz
9 takedowns Jan 25, 2007 vs Reiner
4 takedowns Jul 08, 2006 vs Neer

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Burkman 7.9
fighter Morgan 6.2
Great knockouts by Burkman
Round 1 Mar 23, 2013 vs Simpson
Round 1 Nov 20, 2009 vs Melendez
Round 1 Nov 05, 2005 vs Morgan

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Burkman 7.7
fighter Morgan 7.6
Great submissions by Burkman
Round 1 Jun 14, 2013 vs Fitch
Round 2 Aug 25, 2012 vs Yager
Round 1 Jan 16, 2006 vs Fickett

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Burkman 8.7
fighter Morgan 7.5
Fast finishes by Burkman
41 seconds Jun 14, 2013 vs Fitch
184 seconds Mar 23, 2013 vs Simpson
67 seconds Jan 16, 2006 vs Fickett
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
November 5, 2005TUF 2 Finale
team
VS
team
R1 KOX
R2 SUBX
1,8401,716
1,8731,683
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Burkman
legend Morgan
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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