UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Lauzon vs Chiesa

1,936

CageRank

WINNER
Chiesa

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
53% chance Chiesa
WILL WIN

1,954

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Michael Chiesa
Much harder to hit 8.8 vs 8.1 Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly longer reach 192 cm vs 180 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
A lot taller 185 cm vs 178 cm Around 5% taller
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.9 vs 8.3 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Younger 29 years vs 33 years More than 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Joe Lauzon
Significantly heavier hands 6.9 vs 6.2 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly better submission defense 9.0 vs 8.0 More than 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 9.3 vs 8.5 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better striker 8.4 vs 8.1 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Fast finishes 8.6 vs 8.2 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better takedown defense 8.8 vs 8.5 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Stronger jaw 9.0 vs 8.6 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Chiesa on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Lauzon’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Michael
Chiesa
In 13:00, how much damage will he do? Chiesa Lauzon
Significant Strikes62
Chiesa's average striking offense may be a factor against Lauzon's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 117 Significant Strikes in 13:00
Average
Striking
vs
Below average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Chiesa's good takedown offense is matched by Lauzon's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 13:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Chiesa is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Chiesa has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Chiesa is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Lauzon on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Chiesa’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Joe
Lauzon
In 13:00, how much damage will he do? Lauzon Chiesa
Significant Strikes51
Lauzon's average striking offense is matched by Chiesa's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 117 Significant Strikes in 13:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Lauzon's average takedown offense is matched by Chiesa's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 13:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Lauzon is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Lauzon has a good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Lauzon is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Chiesa 8.1
fighter Lauzon 8.4
Great striking by Lauzon
44 strikes Aug 04, 2012 vs Varner
2 strikes Oct 08, 2011 vs Guillard
19 strikes Aug 28, 2010 vs Ruediger

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Chiesa 8.9
fighter Lauzon 8.3
Great takedowns by Chiesa
1 takedown Nov 06, 2013 vs Smith
1 takedown Feb 23, 2013 vs Kuivanen
1 takedown Jun 01, 2012 vs Iaquinta

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Chiesa 6.2
fighter Lauzon 6.9
Great knockouts by Lauzon
Round 2 Sep 17, 2008 vs Bradley
Round 1 Sep 23, 2006 vs Pulver
Round 1 Apr 01, 2006 vs Baker

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Chiesa 8.8
fighter Lauzon 8.7
Great submissions by Chiesa
Round 2 Nov 06, 2013 vs Smith
Round 2 Feb 23, 2013 vs Kuivanen
Round 1 Jun 01, 2012 vs Iaquinta

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Chiesa 8.2
fighter Lauzon 8.6
Fast finishes by Lauzon
47 seconds Oct 08, 2011 vs Guillard
74 seconds Nov 17, 2007 vs Reinhardt
48 seconds Sep 23, 2006 vs Pulver
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
September 5, 2014UFC Fight Night 50
team
VS
team
R2 KOX
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Chiesa
legend Lauzon
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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