Joe Lauzon J-Lau 31-16

Weight 155 lbs
Height 5' 10"
Reach 71"
Age 33

Michael Chiesa 19-3 Maverick

155 lbs
6' 1"
76"
29

CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Lauzon vs Chiesa

CageRank

53% chance Chiesa
WILL WIN

CageRank

WINNER

Differences What advantages does each fighter have?

Advantages for Michael Chiesa

Much harder to hit	8.8	vs	8.1	Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly longer reach	192 cm	vs	180 cm	More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
A lot taller	185 cm	vs	178 cm	Around 5% taller
Significantly stronger takedown offense	8.9	vs	8.3	More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Younger	29 years	vs	33 years	More than 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon

Advantages for Joe Lauzon

Significantly heavier hands	6.9	vs	6.2	More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly better submission defense	9.0	vs	8.0	More than 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight	9.3	vs	8.5	Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better striker	8.4	vs	8.1	Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Fast finishes	8.6	vs	8.2	Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better takedown defense	8.8	vs	8.5	Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Stronger jaw	9.0	vs	8.6	Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions

Chiesa on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Lauzon’s defensive skills

Predictions For Michael Chiesa
In 13:00, how much damage will he do?	Chiesa		Lauzon
Significant Strikes62 Chiesa's average striking offense may be a factor against Lauzon's defense Note: we'd predict at most 117 Significant Strikes in 13:00	Average Striking	vs	Below average Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3 Chiesa's good takedown offense is matched by Lauzon's defense Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 13:00	Good Takedown ability	vs	Good Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout Chiesa is unlikely to win by knockout	Weak Knockout ability	vs	Excellent Jaw
Submission Chiesa has a reasonable chance to win by submission	Excellent Submission ability	vs	Excellent Resistance
Decision Chiesa is unlikely to win by decision	Average Scoring ability	vs	Good Scoring ability

Lauzon on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Chiesa’s defensive skills

Predictions For Joe Lauzon
In 13:00, how much damage will he do?	Lauzon		Chiesa
Significant Strikes51 Lauzon's average striking offense is matched by Chiesa's defense Note: we'd predict at most 117 Significant Strikes in 13:00	Average Striking	vs	Average Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2 Lauzon's average takedown offense is matched by Chiesa's defense Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 13:00	Average Takedown ability	vs	Average Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout Lauzon is unlikely to win by knockout	Below average Knockout ability	vs	Excellent Jaw
Submission Lauzon has a good chance of winning by submission	Excellent Submission ability	vs	Good Resistance
Decision Lauzon is unlikely to win by decision	Poor Scoring ability	vs	Excellent Scoring ability