UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Lauzon vs Pearson

1,936

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Lauzon

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
52% chance Lauzon
WILL WIN

1,919

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Joe Lauzon
Much better submission offense 8.7 vs 7.3 Around 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly fast finishes 8.6 vs 7.9 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Taller 178 cm vs 173 cm Around 5% taller
Better takedown defense 8.8 vs 8.3 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Stronger jaw 9.0 vs 8.4 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Longer reach 180 cm vs 175 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Puts up a fight 9.3 vs 8.8 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Stronger takedown offense 8.3 vs 8.1 Almost the same
Better submission defense 9.0 vs 8.7 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Advantages for Ross Pearson
Significantly heavier hands 7.9 vs 6.9 Around 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly better striker 8.9 vs 8.4 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Harder to hit 8.4 vs 8.1 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Lauzon on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Pearson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Joe
Lauzon
In 10:38, how much damage will he do? Lauzon Pearson
Significant Strikes51
Lauzon's average striking offense is matched by Pearson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 96 Significant Strikes in 10:38
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Lauzon's average takedown offense is matched by Pearson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:38
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Lauzon is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Lauzon has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Lauzon is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Pearson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Lauzon’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Ross
Pearson
In 10:38, how much damage will he do? Pearson Lauzon
Significant Strikes68
Pearson's good striking offense may be a factor against Lauzon's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 96 Significant Strikes in 10:38
Good
Striking
vs
Below average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Pearson's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Lauzon's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:38
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Pearson is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Pearson is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Pearson is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Lauzon 8.4
fighter Pearson 8.9
Great striking by Pearson
50 strikes Dec 15, 2012 vs Sotiropoulos
52 strikes Dec 30, 2011 vs Assuncao
59 strikes Feb 27, 2011 vs Fisher

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Lauzon 8.3
fighter Pearson 8.1
Great takedowns by Lauzon
2 takedowns Aug 04, 2012 vs Varner
1 takedown Nov 17, 2007 vs Reinhardt
1 takedown Sep 23, 2006 vs Pulver

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Lauzon 6.9
fighter Pearson 7.9
Great knockouts by Pearson
Round 2 Apr 06, 2013 vs Couture
Round 3 Dec 15, 2012 vs Sotiropoulos
Round 2 Nov 14, 2009 vs Riley

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Lauzon 8.7
fighter Pearson 7.3
Great submissions by Lauzon
Round 3 Aug 04, 2012 vs Varner
Round 1 Oct 08, 2011 vs Guillard
Round 2 Feb 07, 2009 vs Stephens

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Lauzon 8.6
fighter Pearson 7.9
Fast finishes by Lauzon
47 seconds Oct 08, 2011 vs Guillard
74 seconds Nov 17, 2007 vs Reinhardt
48 seconds Sep 23, 2006 vs Pulver
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Lauzon
legend Pearson
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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