UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Lauzon vs Assuncao

1,936

CageRank

WINNER
Assuncao

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
72% chance Assuncao
WILL WIN

2,100

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Raphael Assuncao
Much harder to hit 9.0 vs 8.1 More than 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly better striker 8.8 vs 8.4 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Better takedown defense 9.2 vs 8.8 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Better submission defense 9.2 vs 9.0 Almost the same
Advantages for Joe Lauzon
Much better submission offense 8.7 vs 7.7 More than 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Fast finishes 8.6 vs 7.8 More than 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
A lot taller 178 cm vs 165 cm Around 10% taller
Longer reach 180 cm vs 171 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Heavier 155 lbs vs 134 lbs More than 15% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Stronger jaw 9.0 vs 8.7 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Slightly younger 34 years vs 36 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Assuncao on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Lauzon’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Raphael
Assuncao
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Assuncao Lauzon
Significant Strikes93
Assuncao's good striking offense may be a factor against Lauzon's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Below average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Assuncao's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Lauzon's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Assuncao is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Assuncao is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Assuncao has a good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Lauzon on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Assuncao’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Joe
Lauzon
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Lauzon Assuncao
Significant Strikes52
Lauzon's average striking offense won't be a factor against Assuncao's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Lauzon's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Assuncao's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Lauzon is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Lauzon has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Lauzon is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Assuncao 8.8
fighter Lauzon 8.4
Great striking by Assuncao
57 strikes Dec 08, 2012 vs Easton
53 strikes Aug 27, 2011 vs Eduardo
47 strikes Nov 11, 2010 vs Davis

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Assuncao 8.2
fighter Lauzon 8.3
Great takedowns by Lauzon
2 takedowns Aug 04, 2012 vs Varner
1 takedown Nov 17, 2007 vs Reinhardt
1 takedown Sep 23, 2006 vs Pulver

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Assuncao 6.9
fighter Lauzon 6.9
Great knockouts by Lauzon
Round 2 Sep 17, 2008 vs Bradley
Round 1 Sep 23, 2006 vs Pulver
Round 1 Apr 01, 2006 vs Baker

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Assuncao 7.7
fighter Lauzon 8.7
Great submissions by Lauzon
Round 3 Aug 04, 2012 vs Varner
Round 1 Oct 08, 2011 vs Guillard
Round 2 Feb 07, 2009 vs Stephens

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Assuncao 7.8
fighter Lauzon 8.6
Fast finishes by Lauzon
47 seconds Oct 08, 2011 vs Guillard
74 seconds Nov 17, 2007 vs Reinhardt
48 seconds Sep 23, 2006 vs Pulver
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
February 18, 2006AFC 15
team
VS
team
XR2 SUB
R2 SUBX
1,7821,755
1,7281,809
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Assuncao
legend Lauzon
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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