UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Lauzon vs Masvidal

1,936

CageRank

WINNER
Masvidal

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
75% chance Masvidal
WILL WIN

2,125

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Jorge Masvidal
Much harder to hit 8.8 vs 8.1 Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly heavier hands 7.5 vs 6.9 Around 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly stronger jaw 9.5 vs 9.0 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better striker 8.8 vs 8.4 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Stronger takedown offense 8.7 vs 8.3 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Puts up a fight 9.8 vs 9.3 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Longer reach 185 cm vs 180 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Heavier 169 lbs vs 155 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Better submission defense 9.2 vs 9.0 Almost the same
Slightly taller 180 cm vs 178 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Joe Lauzon
Much better submission offense 8.7 vs 6.9 More than 25% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Fast finishes 8.6 vs 7.6 Around 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better takedown defense 8.8 vs 8.5 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Masvidal on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Lauzon’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jorge
Masvidal
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Masvidal Lauzon
Significant Strikes92
Masvidal's good striking offense may be a factor against Lauzon's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Below average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Masvidal's good takedown offense is matched by Lauzon's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Masvidal is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Masvidal is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Masvidal has a good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Lauzon on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Masvidal’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Joe
Lauzon
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Lauzon Masvidal
Significant Strikes59
Lauzon's average striking offense is matched by Masvidal's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Lauzon's average takedown offense is matched by Masvidal's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Lauzon is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Lauzon has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Lauzon is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Masvidal 8.8
fighter Lauzon 8.4
Great striking by Masvidal
50 strikes Apr 20, 2013 vs Means
82 strikes Jul 14, 2012 vs Wilcox
56 strikes Mar 05, 2011 vs Evangelista

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Masvidal 8.7
fighter Lauzon 8.3
Great takedowns by Masvidal
6 takedowns Apr 20, 2013 vs Means
7 takedowns Jun 18, 2011 vs Noons
3 takedowns Mar 05, 2011 vs Evangelista

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Masvidal 7.5
fighter Lauzon 6.9
Great knockouts by Masvidal
Round 2 Nov 07, 2009 vs Kitaoka
Round 1 Apr 03, 2009 vs Agallar
Round 1 Sep 28, 2008 vs Schultz

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Masvidal 6.9
fighter Lauzon 8.7
Great submissions by Lauzon
Round 3 Aug 04, 2012 vs Varner
Round 1 Oct 08, 2011 vs Guillard
Round 2 Feb 07, 2009 vs Stephens

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Masvidal 7.6
fighter Lauzon 8.6
Fast finishes by Lauzon
47 seconds Oct 08, 2011 vs Guillard
74 seconds Nov 17, 2007 vs Reinhardt
48 seconds Sep 23, 2006 vs Pulver
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
April 30, 2005AFC 12
team
VS
team
XR2 KO
R1 SUBX
1,8091,681
1,7421,749
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Masvidal
legend Lauzon
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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