UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Sell vs Leites

1,703

CageRank

WINNER
Leites

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
92% chance Leites
WILL WIN

2,122

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Thales Leites
Fast finishes 8.8 vs 7.0 More than 25% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much harder to hit 9.2 vs 8.2 Around 15% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Much stronger jaw 9.4 vs 7.3 Around 30% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Much stronger takedown offense 9.1 vs 7.8 More than 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Much heavier 184 lbs vs 178 lbs Around 5% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Much better submission offense 8.6 vs 7.3 More than 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Puts up a fight 9.7 vs 8.1 Around 20% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly better takedown defense 9.2 vs 8.4 Around 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly longer reach 198 cm vs 191 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Heavier hands 7.1 vs 6.4 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Taller 185 cm vs 180 cm Around 5% taller
Better submission defense 9.2 vs 8.7 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Advantages for Pete Sell
Better striker 8.1 vs 7.9 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Leites on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Sell’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Thales
Leites
In 6:48, how much damage will he do? Leites Sell
Significant Strikes28
Leites's below average striking offense is matched by Sell's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 61 Significant Strikes in 6:48
Below average
Striking
vs
Below average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Leites's good takedown offense may be a factor against Sell's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 6:48
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Leites has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Leites has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Leites has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Sell on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Leites’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Pete
Sell
In 6:48, how much damage will he do? Sell Leites
Significant Strikes16
Sell's average striking offense won't be a factor against Leites's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 61 Significant Strikes in 6:48
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Sell's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Leites's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 6:48
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Sell is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Sell is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Sell is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Leites 7.9
fighter Sell 8.1
Great striking by Sell
65 strikes Oct 25, 2008 vs Burkman
16 strikes Feb 05, 2005 vs Baroni

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Leites 9.1
fighter Sell 7.8
Great takedowns by Leites
3 takedowns Nov 16, 2013 vs Herman
5 takedowns Aug 03, 2013 vs Watson
3 takedowns Aug 25, 2007 vs Jensen

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Leites 7.1
fighter Sell 6.4
Great knockouts by Leites
Round 1 Apr 11, 2014 vs Smith
Round 3 Sep 17, 2005 vs Jhun
Round 1 May 29, 2004 vs Linhares

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Leites 8.6
fighter Sell 7.3
Great submissions by Leites
Round 2 Oct 29, 2010 vs Troeng
Round 1 Aug 25, 2007 vs Jensen
Round 3 Jul 02, 2005 vs Machado

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Leites 8.8
fighter Sell 7.0
Fast finishes by Leites
513 seconds Oct 29, 2010 vs Troeng
147 seconds May 07, 2010 vs Taylor
227 seconds Aug 25, 2007 vs Jensen
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
April 7, 2007UFC 69
team
VS
team
XR3 DEC
XR2 SUB
1,7111,856
1,6811,886
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Leites
legend Sell
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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