UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Guida vs Gomi

2,021

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Guida

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
51% chance Guida
WILL WIN

2,012

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Clay Guida
Much stronger takedown offense 9.1 vs 7.2 More than 25% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Much better submission offense 7.9 vs 7.0 Around 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly harder to hit 9.0 vs 8.5 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Better takedown defense 9.1 vs 8.7 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Better submission defense 8.7 vs 8.3 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Younger 35 years vs 39 years More than 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Puts up a fight 9.3 vs 9.1 Almost the same
Advantages for Takanori Gomi
Much heavier hands 8.4 vs 6.6 Around 30% better at knocking out good defenders
Better striker 8.9 vs 8.2 Around 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Fast finishes 8.2 vs 7.4 More than 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Stronger jaw 9.6 vs 9.2 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Heavier 155 lbs vs 144 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Taller 173 cm vs 170 cm Almost the same
Guida on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Gomi’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Clay
Guida
In 14:00, how much damage will he do? Guida Gomi
Significant Strikes57
Guida's average striking offense is matched by Gomi's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 126 Significant Strikes in 14:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Guida's good takedown offense may be a factor against Gomi's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 14:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Guida is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Guida has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Guida has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Gomi on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Guida’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Takanori
Gomi
In 14:00, how much damage will he do? Gomi Guida
Significant Strikes64
Gomi's good striking offense is matched by Guida's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 126 Significant Strikes in 14:00
Good
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Gomi's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Guida's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 14:00
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Gomi has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Gomi is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Gomi is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Guida 8.2
fighter Gomi 8.9
Great striking by Gomi
5 strikes Aug 01, 2010 vs Griffin
14 strikes Dec 31, 2006 vs Ishida
35 strikes Sep 25, 2005 vs Kawajiri

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Guida 9.1
fighter Gomi 7.2
Great takedowns by Guida
3 takedowns Jan 26, 2013 vs Hioki
3 takedowns Jan 01, 2011 vs Gomi
4 takedowns Jan 31, 2009 vs Diaz

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Guida 6.6
fighter Gomi 8.4
Great knockouts by Gomi
Round 2 Feb 26, 2012 vs Mitsuoka
Round 1 Aug 01, 2010 vs Griffin
Round 1 Dec 31, 2006 vs Ishida

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Guida 7.9
fighter Gomi 7.0
Great submissions by Guida
Round 2 Jan 01, 2011 vs Gomi
Round 3 Aug 07, 2010 vs dos Anjos
Round 2 Oct 14, 2006 vs James

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Guida 7.5
fighter Gomi 8.2
Fast finishes by Gomi
64 seconds Aug 01, 2010 vs Griffin
74 seconds Dec 31, 2006 vs Ishida
462 seconds Sep 25, 2005 vs Kawajiri
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
January 1, 2011UFC 125
team
VS
team
R2 SUBX
XDEC
1,9862,065
2,0472,004
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Guida
legend Gomi
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
comments powered by Disqus