UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Guida vs dos Anjos

2,021

CageRank

WINNER
dos Anjos

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
65% chance dos Anjos
WILL WIN

2,132

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Rafael dos Anjos
Significantly fast finishes 7.9 vs 7.4 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly heavier hands 7.0 vs 6.6 Around 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Better striker 8.5 vs 8.2 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Heavier 169 lbs vs 144 lbs More than 15% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Better submission defense 9.2 vs 8.7 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Taller 175 cm vs 170 cm Around 5% taller
Puts up a fight 9.6 vs 9.3 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Younger 32 years vs 35 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Clay Guida
Stronger takedown offense 9.1 vs 8.8 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Better submission offense 7.9 vs 7.7 Almost the same
Stronger jaw 9.2 vs 9.0 Almost the same
dos Anjos on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Guida’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Rafael
dos Anjos
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? dos Anjos Guida
Significant Strikes55
dos Anjos's average striking offense won't be a factor against Guida's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
dos Anjos's good takedown offense is matched by Guida's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
dos Anjos is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
dos Anjos is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
dos Anjos has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Guida on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against dos Anjos’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Clay
Guida
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Guida dos Anjos
Significant Strikes42
Guida's average striking offense won't be a factor against dos Anjos's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Guida's good takedown offense is matched by dos Anjos's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Guida is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Guida is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Guida has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter dos Anjos 8.5
fighter Guida 8.2
Great striking by dos Anjos
39 strikes Aug 28, 2013 vs Cerrone
66 strikes May 18, 2013 vs Dunham
54 strikes Nov 17, 2012 vs Bocek

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter dos Anjos 8.8
fighter Guida 9.1
Great takedowns by Guida
3 takedowns Jan 26, 2013 vs Hioki
3 takedowns Jan 01, 2011 vs Gomi
4 takedowns Jan 31, 2009 vs Diaz

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter dos Anjos 7.1
fighter Guida 6.6
Great knockouts by dos Anjos
Round 1 Dec 19, 2015 vs Cerrone
Round 1 Jul 02, 2011 vs Sotiropoulos
Round 2 Apr 16, 2005 vs Arinelli

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter dos Anjos 7.7
fighter Guida 7.9
Great submissions by Guida
Round 2 Jan 01, 2011 vs Gomi
Round 3 Aug 07, 2010 vs dos Anjos
Round 2 Oct 14, 2006 vs James

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter dos Anjos 8.0
fighter Guida 7.5
Fast finishes by dos Anjos
100 seconds May 15, 2012 vs Shalorus
59 seconds Jul 02, 2011 vs Sotiropoulos
570 seconds Apr 10, 2010 vs Etim
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
August 7, 2010UFC 117
team
VS
team
R3 SUBX
XDEC
1,9351,940
1,9861,889
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend dos Anjos
legend Guida
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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