UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Guida vs Edgar

2,021

CageRank

WINNER
Edgar

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
65% chance Edgar
WILL WIN

2,131

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Frankie Edgar
Better striker 9.1 vs 8.2 More than 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Much heavier hands 7.7 vs 6.6 Around 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Longer reach 183 cm vs 177 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Better submission defense 9.4 vs 8.7 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 9.6 vs 9.3 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Slightly better takedown defense 9.2 vs 9.1 Almost the same
Advantages for Clay Guida
Significantly better submission offense 7.9 vs 7.2 Around 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Taller 170 cm vs 168 cm Almost the same
Edgar on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Guida’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Frankie
Edgar
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Edgar Guida
Significant Strikes74
Edgar's excellent striking offense will dominate Guida's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Edgar's good takedown offense is matched by Guida's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Edgar is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Edgar is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Edgar has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Guida on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Edgar’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Clay
Guida
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Guida Edgar
Significant Strikes43
Guida's average striking offense won't be a factor against Edgar's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Guida's good takedown offense won't be a factor against Edgar's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Guida is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Guida is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Guida has a good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Edgar 9.1
fighter Guida 8.2
Great striking by Edgar
61 strikes Oct 08, 2011 vs Maynard
61 strikes Apr 10, 2010 vs Penn
74 strikes May 23, 2009 vs Sherk

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Edgar 9.0
fighter Guida 9.1
Great takedowns by Guida
3 takedowns Jan 26, 2013 vs Hioki
3 takedowns Jan 01, 2011 vs Gomi
4 takedowns Jan 31, 2009 vs Diaz

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Edgar 7.7
fighter Guida 6.6
Great knockouts by Edgar
Round 4 Oct 08, 2011 vs Maynard
Round 1 Jul 07, 2007 vs Bocek
Round 1 Jul 10, 2005 vs Uresk

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Edgar 7.2
fighter Guida 7.9
Great submissions by Guida
Round 2 Jan 01, 2011 vs Gomi
Round 3 Aug 07, 2010 vs dos Anjos
Round 2 Oct 14, 2006 vs James

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Edgar 7.5
fighter Guida 7.5
Fast finishes by Edgar
1134 seconds Oct 08, 2011 vs Maynard
442 seconds Dec 05, 2009 vs Veach
295 seconds Jul 07, 2007 vs Bocek
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Edgar
legend Guida
Read More
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Fantasy Cage Match
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Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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