UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Guida vs Maynard

2,021

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Guida

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
52% chance Guida
WILL WIN

2,005

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Clay Guida
Much stronger jaw 9.2 vs 7.4 Around 25% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Much better submission offense 7.9 vs 6.5 More than 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly harder to hit 9.0 vs 8.5 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly stronger takedown offense 9.1 vs 8.5 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Puts up a fight 9.3 vs 8.4 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Younger 35 years vs 38 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Fast finishes 7.4 vs 7.3 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Advantages for Gray Maynard
Significantly better striker 8.5 vs 8.2 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly better takedown defense 9.6 vs 9.1 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly heavier hands 7.2 vs 6.6 Around 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Better submission defense 9.3 vs 8.7 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Taller 173 cm vs 170 cm Almost the same
Guida on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Maynard’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Clay
Guida
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Guida Maynard
Significant Strikes61
Guida's average striking offense is matched by Maynard's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Guida's good takedown offense won't be a factor against Maynard's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Guida is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Guida is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Guida has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Maynard on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Guida’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Gray
Maynard
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Maynard Guida
Significant Strikes56
Maynard's average striking offense won't be a factor against Guida's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Maynard's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Guida's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Maynard is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Maynard is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Maynard has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Guida 8.2
fighter Maynard 8.5
Great striking by Maynard
49 strikes Jun 22, 2012 vs Guida
15 strikes Aug 28, 2010 vs Florian
37 strikes Mar 07, 2009 vs Miller

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Guida 9.1
fighter Maynard 8.5
Great takedowns by Guida
3 takedowns Jan 26, 2013 vs Hioki
3 takedowns Jan 01, 2011 vs Gomi
4 takedowns Jan 31, 2009 vs Diaz

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Guida 6.6
fighter Maynard 7.2
Great knockouts by Maynard
Round 1 Sep 19, 2007 vs Veres
Round 1 Feb 15, 2007 vs Weems
Round 1 Apr 21, 2006 vs Powell

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Guida 7.9
fighter Maynard 6.5
Great submissions by Guida
Round 2 Jan 01, 2011 vs Gomi
Round 3 Aug 07, 2010 vs dos Anjos
Round 2 Oct 14, 2006 vs James

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Guida 7.5
fighter Maynard 7.3
Fast finishes by Guida
567 seconds Jan 01, 2011 vs Gomi
711 seconds Aug 07, 2010 vs dos Anjos
582 seconds Oct 14, 2006 vs James
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
June 22, 2012UFC on FX 4
team
VS
team
XR5 DEC
XDEC
2,0342,077
1,9902,120
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Guida
legend Maynard
Read More
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Fantasy Cage Match
Maynard vs McGregor
Fantasy Cage Match
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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