UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Guida vs James

2,021

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Guida

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
85% chance Guida
WILL WIN

1,722

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Clay Guida
Much better takedown defense 9.1 vs 8.0 Around 15% better at avoiding being taken down
Much better submission defense 8.7 vs 7.5 More than 15% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Significantly stronger takedown offense 9.1 vs 8.3 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Puts up a fight 9.3 vs 8.3 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly harder to hit 9.0 vs 8.5 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly stronger jaw 9.2 vs 8.6 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Heavier hands 6.6 vs 6.3 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Younger 35 years vs 40 years Around 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Justin James
Fast finishes 8.1 vs 7.4 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly better submission offense 8.5 vs 7.9 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly longer reach 188 cm vs 177 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Taller 178 cm vs 170 cm Around 5% taller
Better striker 8.3 vs 8.2 Almost the same
Heavier 155 lbs vs 144 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Guida on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against James’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Clay
Guida
In 12:31, how much damage will he do? Guida James
Significant Strikes50
Guida's average striking offense is matched by James's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 113 Significant Strikes in 12:31
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Guida's good takedown offense may be a factor against James's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 12:31
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Guida is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Guida has a chance to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Guida has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
James on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Guida’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Justin
James
In 12:31, how much damage will he do? James Guida
Significant Strikes40
James's average striking offense won't be a factor against Guida's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 113 Significant Strikes in 12:31
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
James's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Guida's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 12:31
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
James is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
James has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
James is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Guida 9.1
fighter James 8.3
Great takedowns by Guida
3 takedowns Jan 26, 2013 vs Hioki
3 takedowns Jan 01, 2011 vs Gomi
4 takedowns Jan 31, 2009 vs Diaz

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Guida 6.6
fighter James 6.3
Great knockouts by Guida
Round 1 Apr 02, 2008 vs Schiavo
Round 1 Dec 18, 2004 vs Davis
Round 1 Nov 12, 2004 vs Hauer

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Guida 7.9
fighter James 8.5
Great submissions by James
Round 1 Aug 26, 2006 vs French
Round 1 Mar 05, 2005 vs Strawn
Round 1 May 06, 2004 vs Johnson

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Guida 7.5
fighter James 8.1
Fast finishes by James
126 seconds Aug 26, 2006 vs French
60 seconds Mar 05, 2005 vs Strawn
101 seconds May 06, 2004 vs Johnson
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
October 14, 2006UFC 64
team
VS
team
R2 SUBX
XR2 SUB
1,8351,837
1,8851,787
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Guida
legend James
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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