UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Guida vs Hioki

2,021

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Guida

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
63% chance Guida
WILL WIN

1,929

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Clay Guida
Significantly better takedown defense 9.1 vs 8.3 Around 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Harder to hit 9.0 vs 8.7 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Stronger takedown offense 9.1 vs 8.9 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Advantages for Hatsu Hioki
Much taller 180 cm vs 170 cm More than 5% taller
Fast finishes 7.9 vs 7.4 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better submission defense 9.1 vs 8.7 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Better striker 8.3 vs 8.2 Almost the same
Puts up a fight 9.6 vs 9.3 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Younger 33 years vs 35 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Slightly heavier hands 6.7 vs 6.6 Almost the same
Guida on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Hioki’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Clay
Guida
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Guida Hioki
Significant Strikes53
Guida's average striking offense is matched by Hioki's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Guida's good takedown offense may be a factor against Hioki's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Guida is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Guida is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Guida has a very good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Hioki on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Guida’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Hatsu
Hioki
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Hioki Guida
Significant Strikes48
Hioki's average striking offense won't be a factor against Guida's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Hioki's good takedown offense is matched by Guida's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Hioki is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Hioki has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Hioki has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Guida 8.2
fighter Hioki 8.3
Great striking by Hioki
67 strikes Feb 26, 2012 vs Palaszewski
24 strikes Oct 29, 2011 vs Roop
48 strikes Aug 26, 2006 vs Curran

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Guida 9.1
fighter Hioki 8.9
Great takedowns by Guida
3 takedowns Jan 26, 2013 vs Hioki
3 takedowns Jan 01, 2011 vs Gomi
4 takedowns Jan 31, 2009 vs Diaz

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Guida 6.6
fighter Hioki 6.7
Great knockouts by Hioki
Round 1 Nov 29, 2008 vs Sato
Round 1 Mar 28, 2008 vs Yoshida
Round 1 Nov 15, 2002 vs Button

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Guida 7.9
fighter Hioki 8.0
Great submissions by Hioki
Round 2 Apr 29, 2011 vs Sanchez
Round 1 Aug 22, 2010 vs Lawson
Round 2 May 05, 2006 vs Hominick

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Guida 7.5
fighter Hioki 7.9
Fast finishes by Hioki
396 seconds Apr 29, 2011 vs Sanchez
129 seconds Aug 22, 2010 vs Lawson
189 seconds May 02, 2009 vs Mann
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
January 26, 2013UFC on Fox 6
team
VS
team
R3 DECX
XDEC
1,9902,062
2,0512,002
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Guida
legend Hioki
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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