UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Guida vs Melendez

2,021

CageRank

WINNER
Melendez

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
78% chance Melendez
WILL WIN

2,243

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Gilbert Melendez
Much heavier hands 8.3 vs 6.6 More than 25% better at knocking out good defenders
Better striker 9.3 vs 8.2 Around 15% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Fast finishes 8.3 vs 7.4 More than 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly better submission defense 9.4 vs 8.7 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Longer reach 185 cm vs 177 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Puts up a fight 9.7 vs 9.3 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Taller 175 cm vs 170 cm Around 5% taller
Heavier 155 lbs vs 144 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Slightly better takedown defense 9.2 vs 9.1 Almost the same
Advantages for Clay Guida
Much better submission offense 7.9 vs 6.5 More than 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Stronger takedown offense 9.1 vs 8.9 Almost the same
Melendez on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Guida’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Gilbert
Melendez
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Melendez Guida
Significant Strikes83
Melendez's excellent striking offense will dominate Guida's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Melendez's good takedown offense is matched by Guida's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Melendez has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Melendez is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Melendez has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Guida on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Melendez’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Clay
Guida
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Guida Melendez
Significant Strikes44
Guida's average striking offense won't be a factor against Melendez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Guida's good takedown offense won't be a factor against Melendez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Guida is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Guida is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Guida has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Melendez 9.3
fighter Guida 8.2
Great striking by Melendez
96 strikes Oct 19, 2013 vs Sanchez
33 strikes Apr 09, 2011 vs Kawajiri
69 strikes Apr 17, 2010 vs Aoki

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Melendez 8.9
fighter Guida 9.1
Great takedowns by Guida
3 takedowns Jan 26, 2013 vs Hioki
3 takedowns Jan 01, 2011 vs Gomi
4 takedowns Jan 31, 2009 vs Diaz

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Melendez 8.3
fighter Guida 6.6
Great knockouts by Melendez
Round 1 Apr 09, 2011 vs Kawajiri
Round 3 Aug 15, 2009 vs Ishida
Round 2 Oct 10, 2003 vs Palling

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Melendez 6.5
fighter Guida 7.9
Great submissions by Guida
Round 2 Jan 01, 2011 vs Gomi
Round 3 Aug 07, 2010 vs dos Anjos
Round 2 Oct 14, 2006 vs James

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Melendez 8.3
fighter Guida 7.5
Fast finishes by Melendez
194 seconds Apr 09, 2011 vs Kawajiri
836 seconds Aug 15, 2009 vs Ishida
92 seconds Aug 20, 2005 vs Sato
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
XR5 DEC
XR1 KO
1,9511,951
1,9012,001
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Melendez
legend Guida
Read More
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Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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