UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Leites vs Smith

2,122

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Leites

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
81% chance Leites
WILL WIN

1,866

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Thales Leites
Much better takedown defense 9.2 vs 7.9 More than 15% better at avoiding being taken down
Much harder to hit 9.2 vs 8.3 More than 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Much stronger jaw 9.4 vs 8.0 More than 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly stronger takedown offense 9.1 vs 8.3 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Puts up a fight 9.7 vs 8.4 Around 15% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly fast finishes 8.8 vs 8.1 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly longer reach 198 cm vs 191 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Heavier hands 7.1 vs 6.5 Around 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Better submission defense 9.2 vs 8.6 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Better submission offense 8.6 vs 8.2 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Advantages for Trevor Smith
Better striker 8.7 vs 7.9 More than 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Taller 191 cm vs 185 cm Around 5% taller
Leites on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Smith’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Thales
Leites
In 8:09, how much damage will he do? Leites Smith
Significant Strikes30
Leites's below average striking offense won't be a factor against Smith's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 73 Significant Strikes in 8:09
Below average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Leites's good takedown offense may be a factor against Smith's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 8:09
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Leites is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Leites has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Leites has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Smith on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Leites’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Trevor
Smith
In 8:09, how much damage will he do? Smith Leites
Significant Strikes29
Smith's good striking offense won't be a factor against Leites's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 73 Significant Strikes in 8:09
Good
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Smith's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Leites's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 8:09
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Smith is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Smith has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Smith is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Leites 7.9
fighter Smith 8.7
Great striking by Smith
57 strikes Jan 15, 2014 vs Houston
11 strikes Nov 18, 2011 vs Cook

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Leites 9.1
fighter Smith 8.3
Great takedowns by Leites
3 takedowns Nov 16, 2013 vs Herman
5 takedowns Aug 03, 2013 vs Watson
3 takedowns Aug 25, 2007 vs Jensen

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Leites 7.1
fighter Smith 6.5
Great knockouts by Leites
Round 1 Apr 11, 2014 vs Smith
Round 3 Sep 17, 2005 vs Jhun
Round 1 May 29, 2004 vs Linhares

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Leites 8.6
fighter Smith 8.2
Great submissions by Leites
Round 2 Oct 29, 2010 vs Troeng
Round 1 Aug 25, 2007 vs Jensen
Round 3 Jul 02, 2005 vs Machado

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Leites 8.8
fighter Smith 8.1
Fast finishes by Leites
513 seconds Oct 29, 2010 vs Troeng
147 seconds May 07, 2010 vs Taylor
227 seconds Aug 25, 2007 vs Jensen
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
April 11, 2014UFC Fight Night 39
team
VS
team
R1 KOX
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Leites
legend Smith
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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