UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Leites vs Troeng

2,122

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Leites

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
82% chance Leites
WILL WIN

1,863

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Thales Leites
Significantly fast finishes 8.8 vs 8.0 More than 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly harder to hit 9.2 vs 8.7 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly better takedown defense 9.2 vs 8.5 Around 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly stronger takedown offense 9.1 vs 8.5 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Better submission offense 8.6 vs 7.9 Around 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Stronger jaw 9.4 vs 9.0 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Longer reach 198 cm vs 194 cm Almost the same
Puts up a fight 9.7 vs 9.2 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better submission defense 9.2 vs 8.8 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Heavier 184 lbs vs 183 lbs Almost the same
Advantages for Tor Troeng
Better striker 8.2 vs 7.9 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Taller 188 cm vs 185 cm Almost the same
Leites on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Troeng’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Thales
Leites
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Leites Troeng
Significant Strikes43
Leites's below average striking offense won't be a factor against Troeng's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Below average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Leites's good takedown offense may be a factor against Troeng's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Leites is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Leites has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Leites has a chance to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Troeng on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Leites’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Tor
Troeng
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Troeng Leites
Significant Strikes38
Troeng's average striking offense won't be a factor against Leites's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Troeng's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Leites's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Troeng is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Troeng is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Troeng is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Leites 7.9
fighter Troeng 8.2
Great striking by Troeng
6 strikes Apr 06, 2013 vs Cella

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Leites 9.1
fighter Troeng 8.5
Great takedowns by Leites
3 takedowns Nov 16, 2013 vs Herman
5 takedowns Aug 03, 2013 vs Watson
3 takedowns Aug 25, 2007 vs Jensen

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Leites 7.1
fighter Troeng 7.3
Great knockouts by Troeng
Round 1 Dec 03, 2011 vs Reinders
Round 2 Oct 31, 2008 vs Osei
Round 1 Feb 09, 2008 vs Balci

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Leites 8.6
fighter Troeng 7.9
Great submissions by Leites
Round 2 Oct 29, 2010 vs Troeng
Round 1 Aug 25, 2007 vs Jensen
Round 3 Jul 02, 2005 vs Machado

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Leites 8.8
fighter Troeng 8.0
Fast finishes by Leites
513 seconds Oct 29, 2010 vs Troeng
147 seconds May 07, 2010 vs Taylor
227 seconds Aug 25, 2007 vs Jensen
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
R2 SUBX
R1 SUBX
1,9431,869
1,9821,829
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Leites
legend Troeng
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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