UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Leites vs Boetsch

2,122

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Leites

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
68% chance Leites
WILL WIN

1,989

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Thales Leites
Much harder to hit 9.2 vs 8.5 Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Much stronger takedown offense 9.1 vs 8.2 More than 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly better submission offense 8.6 vs 7.4 More than 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly fast finishes 8.8 vs 7.8 Around 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly better takedown defense 9.2 vs 8.3 More than 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly longer reach 198 cm vs 188 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Better submission defense 9.2 vs 8.5 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Stronger jaw 9.4 vs 8.8 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.7 vs 9.0 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Taller 185 cm vs 183 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Tim Boetsch
Significantly better striker 8.5 vs 7.9 Around 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Heavier hands 7.6 vs 7.1 Around 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Leites on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Boetsch’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Thales
Leites
In 10:31, how much damage will he do? Leites Boetsch
Significant Strikes34
Leites's below average striking offense won't be a factor against Boetsch's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 95 Significant Strikes in 10:31
Below average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Leites's good takedown offense may be a factor against Boetsch's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:31
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Leites is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Leites has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Leites is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Boetsch on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Leites’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Tim
Boetsch
In 10:31, how much damage will he do? Boetsch Leites
Significant Strikes34
Boetsch's average striking offense won't be a factor against Leites's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 95 Significant Strikes in 10:31
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Boetsch's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Leites's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:31
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Boetsch is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Boetsch is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Boetsch is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Leites 7.9
fighter Boetsch 8.5
Great striking by Boetsch
54 strikes Jul 21, 2012 vs Lombard
42 strikes Feb 26, 2012 vs Okami
60 strikes Aug 07, 2010 vs Brown

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Leites 9.1
fighter Boetsch 8.2
Great takedowns by Leites
3 takedowns Nov 16, 2013 vs Herman
5 takedowns Aug 03, 2013 vs Watson
3 takedowns Aug 25, 2007 vs Jensen

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Leites 7.1
fighter Boetsch 7.6
Great knockouts by Boetsch
Round 3 Feb 26, 2012 vs Okami
Round 1 Sep 06, 2008 vs Patt
Round 1 Feb 02, 2008 vs Heath

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Leites 8.6
fighter Boetsch 7.4
Great submissions by Leites
Round 2 Oct 29, 2010 vs Troeng
Round 1 Aug 25, 2007 vs Jensen
Round 3 Jul 02, 2005 vs Machado

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Leites 8.8
fighter Boetsch 7.8
Fast finishes by Leites
513 seconds Oct 29, 2010 vs Troeng
147 seconds May 07, 2010 vs Taylor
227 seconds Aug 25, 2007 vs Jensen
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
January 31, 2015UFC 183
team
VS
team
R2 SUBX
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Leites
legend Boetsch
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
comments powered by Disqus