UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Mendes vs Silva

1,573

CageRank

WINNER
Silva

prediction

BY KO ROUND 1

prediction
93% chance Silva
WILL WIN

2,031

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Thiago Silva
Fast finishes 8.9 vs 7.2 Around 25% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much heavier hands 8.9 vs 7.2 More than 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Puts up a fight 9.2 vs 7.6 More than 20% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better striker 9.0 vs 8.2 Around 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly better submission defense 8.7 vs 7.6 Around 15% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Significantly harder to hit 8.7 vs 8.2 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly better submission offense 6.9 vs 6.1 Around 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly stronger jaw 9.2 vs 8.4 More than 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Slightly younger 35 years vs 37 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Antonio Mendes
Much stronger takedown offense 8.7 vs 7.3 Around 20% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly longer reach 198 cm vs 188 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Taller 191 cm vs 185 cm Around 5% taller
Better takedown defense 8.4 vs 8.2 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Silva on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Mendes’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Thiago
Silva
In 4:15, how much damage will he do? Silva Mendes
Significant Strikes28
Silva's excellent striking offense will dominate Mendes's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 38 Significant Strikes in 4:15
Excellent
Striking
vs
Below average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Silva's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Mendes's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 2 Takedowns in 4:15
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Silva has a good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Silva is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Silva is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Mendes on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Silva’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Antonio
Mendes
In 4:15, how much damage will he do? Mendes Silva
Significant Strikes15
Mendes's average striking offense is matched by Silva's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 38 Significant Strikes in 4:15
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Mendes's average takedown offense is matched by Silva's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 2 Takedowns in 4:15
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Mendes is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Mendes is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Mendes is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Silva 9.0
fighter Mendes 8.2
Great striking by Silva
96 strikes Oct 09, 2013 vs Hamill
37 strikes Jun 08, 2013 vs Cavalcante
48 strikes Sep 08, 2007 vs Drwal

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Silva 8.9
fighter Mendes 7.3
Great knockouts by Silva
Round 1 Jun 08, 2013 vs Cavalcante
Round 1 Aug 29, 2009 vs Jardine
Round 2 Sep 08, 2007 vs Drwal

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Silva 6.9
fighter Mendes 6.1
Great submissions by Silva
Round 1 May 24, 2008 vs Mendes
Round 1 Sep 27, 2006 vs Dalgliesh

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Silva 8.9
fighter Mendes 7.2
Fast finishes by Silva
269 seconds Jun 08, 2013 vs Cavalcante
95 seconds Aug 29, 2009 vs Jardine
144 seconds May 24, 2008 vs Mendes
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
May 24, 2008UFC 84
team
VS
team
XR1 SUB
XR2 KO
1,8861,974
1,8482,011
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Silva
legend Mendes
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
comments powered by Disqus