UFC fight predictions and analysis
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CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Koscheck vs Daley

1,979

CageRank

WINNER
Daley

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
55% chance Daley
WILL WIN

2,017

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Paul Daley
Much heavier hands 9.5 vs 7.9 More than 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly better striker 8.7 vs 8.2 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Fast finishes 8.7 vs 8.2 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Younger 34 years vs 40 years 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Stronger jaw 9.3 vs 8.7 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Longer reach 189 cm vs 185 cm Almost the same
Puts up a fight 9.6 vs 9.2 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Heavier 170 lbs vs 169 lbs Almost the same
Slightly better submission defense 9.4 vs 9.2 Almost the same
Advantages for Josh Koscheck
Much stronger takedown offense 8.9 vs 7.6 More than 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Much better takedown defense 9.6 vs 8.4 Around 15% better at avoiding being taken down
Much better submission offense 7.5 vs 6.3 Around 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Harder to hit 9.0 vs 8.7 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Taller 178 cm vs 175 cm Almost the same
Daley on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Koscheck’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Paul
Daley
In 11:26, how much damage will he do? Daley Koscheck
Significant Strikes47
Daley's good striking offense is matched by Koscheck's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 103 Significant Strikes in 11:26
Good
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Daley's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Koscheck's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:26
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Daley has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Daley is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Daley is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Koscheck on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Daley’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Josh
Koscheck
In 11:26, how much damage will he do? Koscheck Daley
Significant Strikes41
Koscheck's average striking offense is matched by Daley's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 103 Significant Strikes in 11:26
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Koscheck's good takedown offense may be a factor against Daley's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:26
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Koscheck is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Koscheck is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Koscheck has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Daley 8.7
fighter Koscheck 8.2
Great striking by Daley
17 strikes Dec 04, 2010 vs Smith
8 strikes Jan 02, 2010 vs Hazelett
27 strikes Sep 19, 2009 vs Kampmann

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Daley 7.6
fighter Koscheck 8.9
Great takedowns by Koscheck
2 takedowns Feb 04, 2012 vs Pierce
4 takedowns May 08, 2010 vs Daley
1 takedown Apr 07, 2007 vs Sanchez

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Daley 9.5
fighter Koscheck 7.9
Great knockouts by Daley
Round 1 Jan 02, 2010 vs Hazelett
Round 1 Sep 19, 2009 vs Kampmann
Round 2 Dec 05, 2008 vs Alessio

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Daley 6.3
fighter Koscheck 7.5
Great submissions by Koscheck
Round 2 Nov 21, 2009 vs Johnson
Round 1 Aug 17, 2006 vs Goulet
Round 1 Apr 06, 2006 vs Chalangov

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Daley 8.8
fighter Koscheck 8.2
Fast finishes by Daley
144 seconds Jan 02, 2010 vs Hazelett
151 seconds Sep 19, 2009 vs Kampmann
438 seconds Dec 05, 2008 vs Alessio
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
May 8, 2010UFC 113
team
VS
team
R3 DECX
XR1 KO
2,0562,070
2,1082,018
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Daley
legend Koscheck
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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