UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Koscheck vs Lawler

1,979

CageRank

WINNER
Lawler

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
76% chance Lawler
WILL WIN

2,180

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Robbie Lawler
Much heavier hands 9.3 vs 7.9 Around 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly better striker 8.8 vs 8.2 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly stronger jaw 9.9 vs 8.7 Around 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Fast finishes 8.8 vs 8.2 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Puts up a fight 9.7 vs 9.2 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Younger 35 years vs 39 years More than 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Taller 180 cm vs 178 cm Almost the same
Longer reach 188 cm vs 185 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Josh Koscheck
Much stronger takedown offense 8.9 vs 7.4 More than 20% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Much better takedown defense 9.6 vs 8.3 More than 15% better at avoiding being taken down
Much better submission offense 7.5 vs 6.3 Around 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Better submission defense 9.2 vs 8.7 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Lawler on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Koscheck’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Robbie
Lawler
In 11:19, how much damage will he do? Lawler Koscheck
Significant Strikes47
Lawler's good striking offense is matched by Koscheck's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 102 Significant Strikes in 11:19
Good
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Lawler's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Koscheck's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:19
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Lawler has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Lawler is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Lawler is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Koscheck on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Lawler’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Josh
Koscheck
In 11:19, how much damage will he do? Koscheck Lawler
Significant Strikes34
Koscheck's average striking offense won't be a factor against Lawler's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 102 Significant Strikes in 11:19
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Koscheck's good takedown offense may be a factor against Lawler's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:19
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Koscheck is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Koscheck is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Koscheck has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Lawler 8.8
fighter Koscheck 8.2
Great striking by Lawler
44 strikes Nov 16, 2013 vs MacDonald
9 strikes Feb 23, 2013 vs Koscheck
8 strikes Dec 04, 2010 vs Lindland

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Lawler 7.4
fighter Koscheck 8.9
Great takedowns by Koscheck
2 takedowns Feb 04, 2012 vs Pierce
4 takedowns May 08, 2010 vs Daley
1 takedown Apr 07, 2007 vs Sanchez

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Lawler 9.3
fighter Koscheck 7.9
Great knockouts by Lawler
Round 1 Feb 23, 2013 vs Koscheck
Round 1 Jan 30, 2010 vs Manhoef
Round 2 Jul 23, 2005 vs Vitale

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Lawler 6.3
fighter Koscheck 7.5
Great submissions by Koscheck
Round 2 Nov 21, 2009 vs Johnson
Round 1 Aug 17, 2006 vs Goulet
Round 1 Apr 06, 2006 vs Chalangov

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Lawler 8.8
fighter Koscheck 8.2
Fast finishes by Lawler
237 seconds Feb 23, 2013 vs Koscheck
213 seconds Jan 30, 2010 vs Manhoef
22 seconds Oct 21, 2006 vs Villasenor
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
February 23, 2013UFC 157
team
VS
team
XR1 KO
DECX
2,1031,933
2,0312,006
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Lawler
legend Koscheck
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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