UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Koscheck vs Magny

1,979

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Koscheck

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
63% chance Koscheck
WILL WIN

1,887

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Josh Koscheck
Much better takedown defense 9.6 vs 7.8 Around 25% better at avoiding being taken down
Fast finishes 8.2 vs 7.1 Around 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly harder to hit 9.0 vs 8.6 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly better submission defense 9.2 vs 8.3 More than 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Better submission offense 7.5 vs 6.9 Around 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Heavier hands 7.9 vs 7.3 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Stronger takedown offense 8.9 vs 8.5 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Puts up a fight 9.2 vs 8.6 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Advantages for Neil Magny
Much longer reach 206 cm vs 185 cm More than 10% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Much taller 191 cm vs 178 cm More than 5% taller
Significantly younger 30 years vs 39 years Around 25% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better striker 8.4 vs 8.2 Almost the same
Koscheck on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Magny’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Josh
Koscheck
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Koscheck Magny
Significant Strikes57
Koscheck's average striking offense is matched by Magny's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns5
Koscheck's good takedown offense may be a factor against Magny's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Below average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Koscheck is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Koscheck is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Koscheck has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Magny on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Koscheck’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Neil
Magny
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Magny Koscheck
Significant Strikes50
Magny's average striking offense won't be a factor against Koscheck's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Magny's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Koscheck's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Magny is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Magny is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Magny has a good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Koscheck 8.2
fighter Magny 8.4
Great striking by Magny
65 strikes Feb 23, 2013 vs Manley

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Koscheck 8.9
fighter Magny 8.5
Great takedowns by Koscheck
2 takedowns Feb 04, 2012 vs Pierce
4 takedowns May 08, 2010 vs Daley
1 takedown Apr 07, 2007 vs Sanchez

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Koscheck 7.9
fighter Magny 7.4
Great knockouts by Koscheck
Round 1 Sep 24, 2011 vs Hughes
Round 1 Sep 19, 2009 vs Trigg
Round 1 Dec 10, 2008 vs Yoshida

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Koscheck 7.5
fighter Magny 6.9
Great submissions by Koscheck
Round 2 Nov 21, 2009 vs Johnson
Round 1 Aug 17, 2006 vs Goulet
Round 1 Apr 06, 2006 vs Chalangov

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Koscheck 8.2
fighter Magny 7.1
Fast finishes by Koscheck
299 seconds Sep 24, 2011 vs Hughes
85 seconds Sep 19, 2009 vs Trigg
135 seconds Dec 10, 2008 vs Yoshida
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Koscheck
legend Magny
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
comments powered by Disqus