UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Marquardt vs Palhares

2,037

CageRank

WINNER
Palhares

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
59% chance Palhares
WILL WIN

2,100

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Rousimar Palhares
Much better submission offense 9.7 vs 7.9 More than 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Fast finishes 9.6 vs 8.6 More than 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Advantages for Nate Marquardt
Much heavier hands 8.2 vs 6.3 Around 30% better at knocking out good defenders
Better striker 8.8 vs 7.5 More than 15% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
A lot taller 183 cm vs 173 cm More than 5% taller
Better submission defense 9.8 vs 9.3 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Longer reach 188 cm vs 180 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Stronger jaw 8.6 vs 8.3 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Heavier 184 lbs vs 169 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Puts up a fight 9.2 vs 9.0 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better takedown defense 9.2 vs 9.0 Almost the same
Palhares on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Marquardt’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Rousimar
Palhares
In 8:41, how much damage will he do? Palhares Marquardt
Significant Strikes16
Palhares's poor striking offense won't be a factor against Marquardt's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 78 Significant Strikes in 8:41
Poor
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Palhares's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Marquardt's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:41
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Palhares is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Palhares has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Palhares is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Marquardt on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Palhares’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Nate
Marquardt
In 8:41, how much damage will he do? Marquardt Palhares
Significant Strikes40
Marquardt's good striking offense is matched by Palhares's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 78 Significant Strikes in 8:41
Good
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Marquardt's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Palhares's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:41
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Marquardt has a good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Marquardt is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Marquardt is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Palhares 7.5
fighter Marquardt 8.8
Great striking by Marquardt
59 strikes Jul 14, 2012 vs Woodley
1 strike Aug 29, 2009 vs Maia
22 strikes Sep 06, 2008 vs Kampmann

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Palhares 8.3
fighter Marquardt 8.4
Great takedowns by Marquardt
1 takedown Jul 14, 2012 vs Woodley
3 takedowns Mar 19, 2011 vs Miller
2 takedowns Feb 02, 2008 vs Horn

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Palhares 6.3
fighter Marquardt 8.2
Great knockouts by Marquardt
Round 4 Jul 14, 2012 vs Woodley
Round 1 Aug 29, 2009 vs Maia
Round 1 Sep 06, 2008 vs Kampmann

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Palhares 9.7
fighter Marquardt 7.9
Great submissions by Palhares
Round 1 Oct 09, 2013 vs Pierce
Round 1 Mar 27, 2010 vs Drwal
Round 2 Dec 12, 2009 vs Linhares

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Palhares 9.6
fighter Marquardt 8.6
Fast finishes by Palhares
31 seconds Oct 09, 2013 vs Pierce
404 seconds Mar 03, 2011 vs Branch
45 seconds Mar 27, 2010 vs Drwal
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
September 15, 2010UFC Fight Night 22
team
VS
team
R1 KOX
DECX
2,0762,001
2,1151,962
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Palhares
legend Marquardt
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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