UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Marquardt vs Belfort

2,037

CageRank

WINNER
Belfort

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
74% chance Belfort
WILL WIN

2,220

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Vitor Belfort
Much harder to hit 9.8 vs 8.9 More than 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Much heavier hands 10.0 vs 8.2 More than 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 10.0 vs 8.6 More than 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly stronger jaw 9.4 vs 8.6 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better striker 9.2 vs 8.8 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Puts up a fight 9.6 vs 9.2 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Advantages for Nate Marquardt
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.4 vs 7.5 More than 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly better submission offense 7.9 vs 6.9 More than 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly better submission defense 9.8 vs 8.8 More than 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Slightly younger 38 years vs 40 years 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Belfort on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Marquardt’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Vitor
Belfort
In 6:53, how much damage will he do? Belfort Marquardt
Significant Strikes37
Belfort's excellent striking offense will dominate Marquardt's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 62 Significant Strikes in 6:53
Excellent
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Belfort's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Marquardt's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 6:53
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Belfort has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Belfort is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Belfort is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Marquardt on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Belfort’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Nate
Marquardt
In 6:53, how much damage will he do? Marquardt Belfort
Significant Strikes18
Marquardt's good striking offense won't be a factor against Belfort's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 62 Significant Strikes in 6:53
Good
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Marquardt's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Belfort's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 6:53
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Marquardt has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Marquardt is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Marquardt is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Belfort 9.2
fighter Marquardt 8.8
Great striking by Belfort
12 strikes Nov 09, 2013 vs Henderson
18 strikes Jan 19, 2013 vs Bisping
6 strikes Jan 24, 2009 vs Lindland

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Belfort 7.6
fighter Marquardt 8.4
Great takedowns by Marquardt
1 takedown Jul 14, 2012 vs Woodley
3 takedowns Mar 19, 2011 vs Miller
2 takedowns Feb 02, 2008 vs Horn

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Belfort 10.0
fighter Marquardt 8.2
Great knockouts by Belfort
Round 1 Nov 09, 2013 vs Henderson
Round 2 Jan 19, 2013 vs Bisping
Round 1 Sep 19, 2009 vs Franklin

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Belfort 6.9
fighter Marquardt 7.9
Great submissions by Marquardt
Round 2 Feb 02, 2008 vs Horn
Round 2 Oct 10, 2006 vs Wallace
Round 3 May 01, 2005 vs Takeuchi

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Belfort 10.0
fighter Marquardt 8.6
Fast finishes by Belfort
77 seconds Nov 09, 2013 vs Henderson
387 seconds Jan 19, 2013 vs Bisping
182 seconds Sep 19, 2009 vs Franklin
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
June 3, 2017UFC 212
team
VS
team
XR3 DEC
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Belfort
legend Marquardt
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
Showing 1 comment.
Nate the great is bellator material.
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